The Evolution of Certainty in a Small Decision-Making Group by Consensus

Alexandra Gheondea-Eladi ()
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Alexandra Gheondea-Eladi: Academia Română

Group Decision and Negotiation, 2016, vol. 25, issue 1, No 6, 127-155

Abstract: Abstract We propose a dynamical systems model for approximating the certainty as a function of communication. Uncertainty is measured during a small group decision-making process, in which participants aim to reach consensus. Assuming that the communication is a one-dimensional continuum variable, both first- and second-order differential models of certainty are analyzed, and then, the general model is obtained by superposition. An experiment was organized, and the data have been used to test the model. A detailed discussion on the assumptions of this approach from the decision theory point of view is also included.

Keywords: Subjective certainty; Communication; Group decision-making; Dynamical systems; Evolution of certainty (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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DOI: 10.1007/s10726-015-9436-8

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