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Quality risk aversion, conjectures, and new product diffusion

Francesco Bogliacino and Giorgio Rampa ()

Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 2012, vol. 22, issue 5, 1115 pages

Abstract: In this paper, we provide a generalization of the standard models of the diffusion of a new product. Consumers are heterogeneous and risk averse, and the firm is uncertain about the demand curve: both learn from past observations. The attitude towards risk has important effects with regard to the diffusion pattern. In our model, downward-biased signals to consumers can prevent the success of the product, even if its objective quality is high: a “lock-in” result. We show, in addition, that the standard logistic pattern can be derived from the model. Finally, we discuss the steady states of the learning dynamics, with regard to the multiplicity and the local stability of equilibria, and to their welfare properties. Copyright Springer-Verlag 2012

Keywords: Heterogeneity; Multiple equilibria; Lock-in; Product diffusion; Risk aversion; L15; D81; O33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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Working Paper: Quality Risk Aversion, Conjectures, and New Product Diffusion (2009) Downloads
Working Paper: Quality Risk Aversion, Conjectures, and New Product Diffusion (2009) Downloads
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DOI: 10.1007/s00191-011-0255-z

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