Long-Term Development of Russian Shipbuilding in View of Defense Sector Diversification Processes: Model and Forecast

A. A. Tresoruk () and I. E. Frolov
Additional contact information
A. A. Tresoruk: Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences
I. E. Frolov: Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences

Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2020, vol. 31, issue 6, 674-681

Abstract: Abstract— The article reconstructs and analyzes trends in the development of Russian shipbuilding in 2011–2019 and assesses the long-term development potential of the shipbuilding industry in 2020–2035, with due consideration of a scenario of fast-tracking the reequipment of the technological and industrial base of the industry. The analysis showed that shipbuilding development was at its most effective in 2014–2017, and in 2018–2019 the trend changed for the worse due to changes in implementation timelines of a number of large military contracts, which lead to reduced efficiency of production. If current trends continue, the target level of shipbuilding industry growth specified in the Strategy of Shipbuilding Industry Development for the period up to 2035 cannot be achieved. Support measures need to be reoriented to proactive modernization of the technological and industrial base of the industry, which includes increasing the number of shipbuilding yards designed for construction of large vessels.

Keywords: high-tech manufacturing; military-industrial complex; shipbuilding; predictive modeling (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://link.springer.com/10.1134/S1075700720060131 Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:sorede:v:31:y:2020:i:6:d:10.1134_s1075700720060131

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
https://www.springer ... nomics/journal/11507

DOI: 10.1134/S1075700720060131

Access Statistics for this article

Studies on Russian Economic Development is currently edited by Viktor V. Ivanter, Dmitrii B. Kuvalin and Galina A. Yaremenko

More articles in Studies on Russian Economic Development from Springer
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing ().