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Forecast of Russian Personal Consumption Expenditures as Function of Income Distribution and Relative Prices

V. V. Potapenko () and A. A. Shirov
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V. V. Potapenko: Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences
A. A. Shirov: Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences

Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2021, vol. 32, issue 1, 1-10

Abstract: Abstract— The article considers an approach to modeling and forecasting personal consumption expenditures for Russia. This approach requires modeling income distribution by Lorenz curve and estimation demand system’s equations. The estimated system is “Perhaps Adequate Demand System” (PADS). The result of this approach’s application is a forecast of personal consumption expenditures in constant prices per capita for goods and services in COICOP classification.

Keywords: personal consumption expenditures; structure of expenditures; income distribution; Lorenz curve; PADS; economic forecasting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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DOI: 10.1134/S1075700721010111

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