On the Comparison of Structural and Morphological Approaches to Staging Long-Term Socio-Economic Processes

D. R. Belousov ()
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D. R. Belousov: Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences, Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting

Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2024, vol. 35, issue 5, 646-656

Abstract: Abstract— This article is a continuation of the work published in the previous issue of the journal.1 The main approaches to constructing scenarios for long-term socio-economic development are compared, both structural and morphological. The results of the scenario are verified using the traditional structural method based on the morphological approach, and a system of mutually agreed upon scenarios for long-term socio-economic and scientific and technological development is proposed (based on the structural approach).

Keywords: scenarios; forecast; structural method; morphological method; socio-economic development; probabilities; scenario matrices (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1134/S1075700724700187

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