About Scenarios and Quantitative Parameters of the Forecast for the Development of the ICT Sector in Russia

D. R. Belousov (), E. Yu. Ablaev, E. A. Abramova, V. G. Artemenko, I. B. Ipatova, K. V. Mikhailenko and O. G. Solntsev
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D. R. Belousov: Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting, Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences
E. Yu. Ablaev: Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting, Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences
E. A. Abramova: Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting, Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences
V. G. Artemenko: Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting, Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences
I. B. Ipatova: Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting, Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences
K. V. Mikhailenko: Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting, Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences
O. G. Solntsev: Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting, Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences

Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2025, vol. 36, issue 2, 221-236

Abstract: Abstract The article describes the results of quantitative calculations in accordance with scenario forecasts of the global and domestic economies, as well as the Russian information and communication technology (ICT) sector. Based on the scenario conditions, quantitative parameters of forecasts for the development of the domestic ICT sector were determined in four scenarios: “maximum” (target scenario), “cautious growth,” “moderate expansion” and “crisis” (the worst possible) taking into account their characteristic features.

Keywords: economic growth; information and communication technologies (ICT); external and internal conditions; crisis; scenarios; forecast; parameters (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1134/S1075700724700692

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