Analysis of the Long-Term Inter-Industry Forecast of the Russian Economy Based on the Concept and Methodology of the Structural-Technological Multiplier

M. N. Uzyakov () and R. M. Uzyakov
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M. N. Uzyakov: Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences
R. M. Uzyakov: Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences

Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2025, vol. 36, issue 5, 593-605

Abstract: Abstract Changes in the structure of the economy are subject to certain patterns that can be identified and formalized using interindustry analysis. The article is devoted to the development of tools for analyzing the dynamic properties of the structure of the economy based on the use of the structural-technological multiplier as a characteristic of the interindustry elasticity of the economy to the impact of final demand. The proposed approach allows to deliver a detailed interindustry analysis of retrospective and forecast data, the formation of forecast scenarios without the use of interindustry tools, and the assessment of the intensity of structural and technological changes.

Keywords: long-term forecast; forecast scenarios; analysis; structural and technological multiplier; structural and technological changes; structural and technological multiplier methodology; normalized intensity of structural and technological changes (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1134/S1075700725700327

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