Impact of Tariff Policy Measures on Global Markets of Mineral Fertilizers: A Quantitative Assessment

M. S. Zekhov (), N. P. Pil’nik and S. A. Radionov
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M. S. Zekhov: EuroChem Group AG
N. P. Pil’nik: National Research University Higher School of Economics
S. A. Radionov: National Research University Higher School of Economics

Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2025, vol. 36, issue 5, 623-633

Abstract: Abstract The article presents a quantitative assessment of the impact made by tariff policy measures on global markets for phosphorus-containing mineral fertilizers: monoammonium phosphate (MAP) and diammonium phosphate (DAP). The analysis is based on a mathematical model of spatially distributed markets. A scenario analysis of five alternative development options was also conducted including a baseline scenario of continuing current trends, two scenarios of tightening tariff policy, and two scenarios of its liberalization in the United States and Europe. It is shown that a reduction in tariffs on the European market benefits all DAP producers and MAP suppliers, whereas the American scenario favors MAP producers while simultaneously shifting DAP producers to less profitable markets.

Keywords: logistics; spatial models; producer task; tariff policy; mineral fertilizers (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1134/S1075700725700352

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