Confidence Intervals and the Within-the-Bar Bias

Christopher S. Pentoney and Dale E. Berger

The American Statistician, 2016, vol. 70, issue 2, 215-220

Abstract: Bar graphs displaying means have been shown to bias interpretations of the underlying distributions: viewers typically report higher likelihoods for values within a bar than outside of a bar. One explanation is that viewer attention is driven by the whole bar, rather than only the edge that provides information about an average. This study explored several approaches to correcting this bias. Bar graphs with 95% confidence intervals were used with different levels of contrast to manipulate attention directed to the bar. Viewers showed less bias when the salience of the bar itself was reduced. Response latencies were lowest and bias was eliminated when participants were presented with only a confidence interval and no bar.

Date: 2016
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DOI: 10.1080/00031305.2016.1141706

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