Is good news for Donald Trump bad news for the Peso?
Thomas Beard,
Hyeongwoo Kim () and
Michael Stern ()
Applied Economics Letters, 2017, vol. 24, issue 19, 1363-1368
Abstract:
We study the relationship between Mr. Trump’s election prospects and the US dollar-peso exchange rate, controlling for other factors that determine overall exchange rates. Increases in Mr. Trump’s probability of winning generate short-run, but statistically significant economically meaningful, disturbances in the US dollar-peso exchange rate. We also provide evidence on Mr. Trump’s effects on Mexican equity markets, premia for Mexican sovereign default risks, exchange rate volatility.
Date: 2017
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Working Paper: Is Good News for Donald Trump Bad News for the Peso? (2016) 
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:24:y:2017:i:19:p:1363-1368
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DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1279262
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