Is Good News for Donald Trump Bad News for the Peso?
Thomas Beard,
Hyeongwoo Kim () and
Michael Stern ()
No auwp2016-13, Auburn Economics Working Paper Series from Department of Economics, Auburn University
Abstract:
We study the dynamic relationship between Mr. Trump’s prospects and the US dollar-peso exchange rate, controlling for other factors that determine the overall US dollar exchange rates. Increases in Mr. Trump’s probability of winning generate short-run but statistically significant and economically meaningful disturbances in the US dollar-peso exchange rate.
Keywords: Donald Trump; PredictIt; Peso; Vector Autoregression (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F31 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-pol
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Journal Article: Is good news for Donald Trump bad news for the Peso? (2017) 
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:abn:wpaper:auwp2016-13
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