The econometrics of arms races

Ronald Smith, John Dunne and Eftychia Nikolaidou

Defence and Peace Economics, 2000, vol. 11, issue 1, 31-43

Abstract: There is now a large empirical literature on estimating arms races. This paper surveys some of the econometric issues involved in estimating action-reaction models of such races. Starting from the traditional Richardson model, it examines issues of identification, specification, and the role of expectations and structural stability. This is done both for the case where the variables are stationary and where they may be I(1) and cointegrated.

Keywords: Arms races; Econometrics; Action-reaction models; Richardson model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2000
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (11)

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DOI: 10.1080/10430710008404937

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