Details about Ronald Smith
Access statistics for papers by Ronald Smith.
 Last updated 2025-07-06. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.
 Short-id: psm18
 
 
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Working Papers
2025
- Analysis of Multiple Long Run Relations in Panel Data Models with Applications to Financial Ratio
 CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo   
Also in Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2025)  
 - Analysis of Multiple Long-Run Relations in Panel Data Models
 Papers, arXiv.org   
Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2025)  
 
 
2024
- High-Dimensional Forecasting with Known Knowns and Known Unknowns
 CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo   
Also in Papers, arXiv.org (2024)   Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2024)   
See also  Journal Article HIGH-DIMENSIONAL FORECASTING WITH KNOWN KNOWNS AND KNOWN UNKNOWNS, National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research (2024)   (2024)
 - Identifying and exploiting alpha in linear asset pricing models with strong, semi-strong, and latent factors
 Papers, arXiv.org   
See also  Journal Article Identifying and Exploiting Alpha in Linear Asset Pricing Models with Strong, Semi-Strong, and Latent Factors, Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press (2025)   View citations (1) (2025)
 
 
2023
- Pooled Bewley Estimator of Long Run Relationships in Dynamic Heterogenous Panels
 Papers, arXiv.org   View citations (1) 
Also in Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2023)   View citations (1)
 - Revisiting the Great Ratios Hypothesis
 Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas   View citations (1) 
Also in Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2022)   BCAM Working Papers, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics (2022)   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2022)   
See also  Journal Article Revisiting the Great Ratios Hypothesis, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford (2023)   View citations (1) (2023)
 - The Role of Pricing Errors in Linear Asset Pricing Models with Strong, Semi-Strong, and Latent Factors
 CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo   
Also in Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2023)  
 
 
2021
- Arbitrage Pricing Theory, the Stochastic Discount Factor and Estimation of Risk Premia from Portfolios
 CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo   View citations (1) 
See also  Journal Article Arbitrage pricing theory, the stochastic discount factor and estimation of risk premia from portfolios, Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier (2023)   View citations (1) (2023)
 - Factor Strengths, Pricing Errors, and Estimation of Risk Premia
 CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo   View citations (5)
 
 
2020
- Government debt, deficits and interest rates 1870 - 201
 BCAM Working Papers, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics   View citations (1)
 
 
2019
- Disability and Multi-Dimensional Quality of Life: A Capability Approach to Health Status Assessment
 IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)   
See also  Journal Article Disability and multidimensional quality of life: A capability approach to health status assessment, Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2020)   View citations (1) (2020)
 - Military Expenditure, Investment and Growth
 School of Economics Macroeconomic Discussion Paper Series, School of Economics, University of Cape Town   View citations (8) 
See also  Journal Article Military Expenditure, Investment and Growth, Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2020)   View citations (19) (2020)
 - The Role of Factor Strength and Pricing Errors for Estimation and Inference in Asset Pricing Models
 CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo   View citations (4)
 - The macroeconomic impact of the euro
 BCAM Working Papers, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics   
See also  Journal Article The Macroeconomic Impact of the Euro, Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (continues Analele Stiintifice), Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration (2019)   (2019)
 
 
2017
- Posterior Means and Precisions of the Coefficients in Linear Models with Highly Collinear Regressors
 BCAM Working Papers, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics   
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2017)  
 - Tests of Policy Interventions in DSGE Models
 BCAM Working Papers, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics   
See also  Journal Article Tests of Policy Interventions in DSGE Models, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford (2018)   View citations (1) (2018)
 
 
2016
- Demographic Structure and Macroeconomic Trends
 CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo   View citations (17) 
Also in Working Papers, Banco de España (2015)   View citations (38) Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics (2015)   View citations (43) 
See also  Journal Article Demographic Structure and Macroeconomic Trends, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association (2019)   View citations (140) (2019)
 - Factor models in panels with cross-sectional dependence: an application to the extended SIPRI military expenditure data
 Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics   View citations (3) 
See also  Journal Article Factor Models in Panels with Cross-sectional Dependence: An Application to the Extended SIPRI Military Expenditure Data, Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2017)   View citations (14) (2017)
 
 
2015
- Military Aid, Direct Intervention and Counterterrorism
 Studies in Economics, School of Economics, University of Kent   
Also in School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey (2015)  
 
 
2014
- Counterfactual Analysis in Macroeconometrics: An Empirical Investigation into the Effects of Quantitative Easing
 Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics   View citations (7) 
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2012)   View citations (45) IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2012)   View citations (47) Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (2012)   View citations (44) 
See also  Journal Article Counterfactual analysis in macroeconometrics: An empirical investigation into the effects of quantitative easing, Research in Economics, Elsevier (2016)   View citations (43) (2016)
 - Tests of Policy Ineffectiveness in Macroeconometrics
 Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge   View citations (2) 
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2014)   View citations (2) Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics (2014)   View citations (2)
 - The relationship between panel and synthetic control estimators of the effect of civil war
 BCAM Working Papers, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics   View citations (12)
 
 
2013
- Signs of Impact Effects in Time Series Regression Models
 CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo   View citations (4) 
See also  Journal Article Signs of impact effects in time series regression models, Economics Letters, Elsevier (2014)   View citations (23) (2014)
 - The Economics of Defence in France and the UK
 Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics   View citations (2) 
Also in Post-Print, HAL (2013)   View citations (2)
 
 
2012
- The Economic Impact of Demographic Structure in OECD Countries
 CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo   View citations (3) 
Also in Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics (2012)   View citations (3)
 
 
2011
- Beyond the DSGE Straitjacket
 IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)   View citations (25) 
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2011)   View citations (28) Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2011)   View citations (7)
 - On Identification of Bayesian DSGE Models
 IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)   View citations (8) 
Also in Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2011)   View citations (8) SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2011)   View citations (7) Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2011)   View citations (8) CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2011)   View citations (8) 
See also  Journal Article On Identification of Bayesian DSGE Models, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2013)   View citations (60) (2013)
 
 
2010
- Military Expenditure and Granger Causality: A Critical Review
 Working Papers, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol   View citations (36) 
See also  Journal Article MILITARY EXPENDITURE AND GRANGER CAUSALITY: A CRITICAL REVIEW, Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2010)   View citations (35) (2010)
 - Supply, Demand and Monetary Policy Shocks in a Multi-Country New Keynesian Model
 CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo   View citations (53) 
Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2010)   View citations (51)
 - Sécurité internationale et crise économique internationale
 Post-Print, HAL  
 
 
2009
- Determining Military Expenditures: Arms Races and Spill-Over Effects in Cross-Section and Panel Data
 Working Papers, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol   View citations (8)
 - Drugs and Violence in Colombia: a VECM Analysis
 Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics  
 
 
2008
- Identification of New Keynesian Phillips Curves from a Global Perspective
 Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge   View citations (83) 
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2008)   View citations (86) Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2008)   View citations (83) IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2008)   View citations (91) 
See also  Journal Article Identification of New Keynesian Phillips Curves from a Global Perspective, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2009)   View citations (10) (2009)
 - International security, defence economics and the powers of nations
 Post-Print, HAL   View citations (56)
 
 
2007
- Global Factors, Unemployment Adjustment and the Natural Rate
 Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel)   View citations (8) 
Also in Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) (2006)   
See also  Journal Article Global Factors, Unemployment Adjustment and the Natural Rate, Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel) (2008)   View citations (7) (2008)
 - Monetary Policy Transmission and the Phillips Curve in a Global Context
 Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel)  
 - The Demand for Military Expenditure in Developing Countries: Hostility versus Capability
 Working Papers, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol   View citations (1) 
See also  Journal Article THE DEMAND FOR MILITARY EXPENDITURE IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES: HOSTILITY VERSUS CAPABILITY, Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2008)   View citations (52) (2008)
 - The measurement of capabilities
 Open Discussion Papers in Economics, The Open University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Economics View citations (31)
 
 
2006
- Macroeconometric Modelling with a Global Perspective
 IEPR Working Papers, Institute of Economic Policy Research (IEPR) View citations (107) 
Also in Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2006)   View citations (115) CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2006)   View citations (109) 
See also  Journal Article MACROECONOMETRIC MODELLING WITH A GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE*, Manchester School, University of Manchester (2006)   View citations (109) (2006)
 - Pairwise Tests of Purchasing Power Parity Using Aggregate and Disaggregate Price Measures
 Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge   View citations (5) 
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2006)   View citations (5)
 
 
2005
- Military Procurement, Industry Structure and Regional Conflict
 Studies in Economics, School of Economics, University of Kent   View citations (4)
 - Unemployment, Investment and Global Expected Returns: A Panel FAVAR Approach
 Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics   View citations (10)
 - What if the UK had Joined the Euro in 1999? An Empirical Evaluation Using a Global VAR
 CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo   View citations (15) 
Also in IEPR Working Papers, Institute of Economic Policy Research (IEPR) (2005) View citations (16) Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2005)   View citations (6)
 
 
2004
- Capabilities and Wellbeing: Evidence Based on the Sen-Nussbaum Approach to Welfare
 Open Discussion Papers in Economics, The Open University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Economics View citations (17) 
See also  Journal Article Capabilities and Well-Being: Evidence Based on the Sen–Nussbaum Approach to Welfare, Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer (2005)   View citations (78) (2005)
 - Global Shocks and Unemployment Adjustment
 Economics, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland   View citations (2) 
Also in Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics (2004)   View citations (1) DEGIT Conference Papers, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade (2004)   View citations (1)
 - L'avenir de la défense européenne
 Post-Print, HAL  
 - Managing Asymmetric Conflict
 Studies in Economics, School of Economics, University of Kent   
See also  Journal Article Managing asymmetric conflict, Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press (2006)   View citations (8) (2006)
 - Models of Military Expenditure and Growth: A Critical Review
 Working Papers, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol   View citations (24) 
See also  Journal Article MODELS OF MILITARY EXPENDITURE AND GROWTH: A CRITICAL REVIEW, Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2005)   View citations (265) (2005)
 - Unobserved Heterogeneity in Panel Time Series Models
 Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics   View citations (14) 
See also  Journal Article Unobserved heterogeneity in panel time series models, Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier (2006)   View citations (135) (2006)
 
 
2003
- Concentration in the International Arms Industry¤
 Working Papers, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol   View citations (6)
 
 
2002
- A Principal Components Approach to Cross-Section Dependence in Panels
 10th International Conference on Panel Data, Berlin, July 5-6, 2002, International Conferences on Panel Data   View citations (71)
 
 
2001
- Between-Group Dependence in PPP Equations and its Causes: A Principal Components Approach
 Computing in Economics and Finance 2001, Society for Computational Economics
 - Small sample properties of panel time-series estimators with I(1) errors
 Computing in Economics and Finance 2001, Society for Computational Economics View citations (34)
 
 
2000
- Equality of Opportunity and Equality of Outcome: Static and Dynamic Competitive Balance in European and North American Sports Leagues
 IASE Conference Papers, International Association of Sports Economists  
 
 
1998
- Le coût d'une défense européenne unifiée
 Post-Print, HAL  
 - Pooled Mean Group Estimation of Dynamic Heterogeneous Panels
 Edinburgh School of Economics Discussion Paper Series, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh   View citations (109)
 - Structural Analysis of Cointegrating VARs
 Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge View citations (198) 
See also  Journal Article Structural Analysis of Cointegrating VARs, Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell (1998)   View citations (191) (1998)
 
 
1997
- Pooled Estimation of Long-run Relationships in Dynamic Heterogeneous Panels
 Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge View citations (116)
 
 
1996
- Growth and Convergence in a Multi-Country Empirical Stochastic Solow Model
 Working Papers, Economic Research Forum   View citations (12) 
Also in Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester View citations (18) 
See also  Journal Article Growth and Convergence in Multi-country Empirical Stochastic Solow Model, Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (1997)   View citations (327) (1997)
 - Saving, Investment and Capital Mobility in LDCs
 Archive Discussion Papers, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics View citations (3) 
See also  Journal Article Saving, Investment, and Capital Mobility in LDCs, Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell (1999) View citations (49) (1999)
 
 
1995
- Dynamic Linear Models for Heterogeneous Panels
 Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge View citations (52)
 - Growth and Convergence: A Multi-Country Empirical Analysis of the Solow Growth Model
 Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge View citations (8)
 - New Directions in Applied Macroeconomic Modelling
 Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge View citations (4)
 
 
1993
- Alternative Approaches to Estimating Long-Run Energy Demand Elasticities: An Application to Asian Developing Countries
 Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge View citations (3)
 - Le couple désarmement-développement dans la pensée économique
 Post-Print, HAL   View citations (4)
 - Les conséquences économiques de la paix
 Post-Print, HAL   View citations (2)
 - Les économistes et la guerre
 Post-Print, HAL   View citations (5)
 - The Economics of the International Arms Trade
 CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers   View citations (4)
 - The Natural Rate Hypothesis and its Testable Implications
 Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge View citations (8)
 
 
1992
- Estimating Long-Run Relationships From Dynamic Heterogeneous Panels
 Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge View citations (130) 
See also  Journal Article Estimating long-run relationships from dynamic heterogeneous panels, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (1995)   View citations (3049) (1995)
 - The Interaction Between Theory and Observation in Economics
 Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge View citations (5)
 - Theory and Evidence in Economics
 Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge View citations (2)
 
 
1991
- A European Defence Union
 Post-Print, HAL   View citations (23)
 - L'influence des estimations et des stratégies de l’État sur l’analyse économique de la détermination des dépenses militaires
 Post-Print, HAL  
 - Le secteur de la défense britannique. La facture de Milady
 Post-Print, HAL   View citations (1)
 
 
1990
- The UK Defence Sector
 Post-Print, HAL   
Also in Post-Print, HAL (1990)  
 - The impact of strategy and measurement on models of French military expenditure
 Post-Print, HAL   View citations (6)
 
 
1989
- La création d’un Fonds International de Désarmement pour la développement: Ressources et contributions
 Post-Print, HAL  
 - The Phillips Curve and the Lucas Critique: Some Historical Evidence
 CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers   View citations (1)
 
 
1987
- Capital-labour substitution in defence provision
 Post-Print, HAL   View citations (75)
 - Emploi et défense
 Post-Print, HAL  
 - Time-series Estimates of the Macroeconomic Impact of Defence Spending in France and the UK
 Post-Print, HAL   View citations (20) 
See also  Chapter Time-series Estimates of the Macroeconomic Impact of Defence Spending in France and the UK, International Economic Association Series, Palgrave Macmillan (1987) View citations (20) (1987)
 - Weapons Procurement: Domestic Production versus Imports
 Post-Print, HAL   View citations (11)
 
 
1986
- Le coût des forces nucléaires
 Post-Print, HAL   View citations (9)
 - The use of econometric models in the analysis of arms races and disarmament
 Post-Print, HAL  
 
 
1985
- Analyse économique des dépenses militaires
 Post-Print, HAL   View citations (10)
 - Economie et pacifisme
 Post-Print, HAL  
 - Estimations macroéconomiques de l'impact des dépenses militaires sur les économies de la France et de la Grande-Bretagne
 Post-Print, HAL   View citations (1)
 - La comparaison des dépenses militaires de la France et du Royaume-Uni
 Post-Print, HAL   View citations (6)
 - La substitution capital travail dans les dépenses militaires
 Post-Print, HAL  
 - Le nucléaire militaire en France et en Grande-Bretagne
 Post-Print, HAL  
 - Les Industries d’armement de la France et du Royaume-Uni
 Post-Print, HAL  
 
 
Journal Articles
2025
- Identifying and Exploiting Alpha in Linear Asset Pricing Models with Strong, Semi-Strong, and Latent Factors
 Journal of Financial Econometrics, 2025, 23, (3), 103-126   View citations (1) 
See also  Working Paper Identifying and exploiting alpha in linear asset pricing models with strong, semi-strong, and latent factors, Papers (2024)   (2024)
 
 
2024
- Budgeting for defense in the United Kingdom
 Economics of Peace and Security Journal, 2024, 19, (2), 5-21  
 - Econometric Aspects of Convergence: A Survey
 Open Economies Review, 2024, 35, (4), 701-721   View citations (2)
 - HIGH-DIMENSIONAL FORECASTING WITH KNOWN KNOWNS AND KNOWN UNKNOWNS
 National Institute Economic Review, 2024, 267, 1-25   
See also  Working Paper High-Dimensional Forecasting with Known Knowns and Known Unknowns, CESifo Working Paper Series (2024)   (2024)
 
 
2023
- Arbitrage pricing theory, the stochastic discount factor and estimation of risk premia from portfolios
 Econometrics and Statistics, 2023, 26, (C), 17-30   View citations (1) 
See also  Working Paper Arbitrage Pricing Theory, the Stochastic Discount Factor and Estimation of Risk Premia from Portfolios, CESifo Working Paper Series (2021)   View citations (1) (2021)
 - Revisiting the Great Ratios Hypothesis
 Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2023, 85, (5), 1023-1047   View citations (1) 
See also  Working Paper Revisiting the Great Ratios Hypothesis, Globalization Institute Working Papers (2023)   View citations (1) (2023)
 
 
2021
- China's money demand in a cointegrating vector error correction model
 Journal of Asian Economics, 2021, 75, (C)  
 
 
2020
- Debt, Deficits and Defence: The UK Experience 1700-2016
 Defence and Peace Economics, 2020, 31, (4), 414-422  
 - Disability and multidimensional quality of life: A capability approach to health status assessment
 Health Economics, 2020, 29, (7), 748-765   View citations (1) 
See also  Working Paper Disability and Multi-Dimensional Quality of Life: A Capability Approach to Health Status Assessment, IZA Discussion Papers (2019)   (2019)
 - Military Expenditure, Investment and Growth
 Defence and Peace Economics, 2020, 31, (6), 601-614   View citations (19) 
See also  Working Paper Military Expenditure, Investment and Growth, School of Economics Macroeconomic Discussion Paper Series (2019)   View citations (8) (2019)
 
 
2019
- A Bayesian analysis of linear regression models with highly collinear regressors
 Econometrics and Statistics, 2019, 11, (C), 1-21   View citations (4)
 - Demographic Structure and Macroeconomic Trends
 American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2019, 11, (1), 193-222   View citations (140) 
See also  Working Paper Demographic Structure and Macroeconomic Trends, CESifo Working Paper Series (2016)   View citations (17) (2016)
 - The Macroeconomic Impact of the Euro
 Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (continues Analele Stiintifice), 2019, 66, (3), 229 - 249   
Also in Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (continues Analele Stiintifice), 2019, 66, (si), 229 - 249 (2019)   
See also  Working Paper The macroeconomic impact of the euro, BCAM Working Papers (2019)   (2019)
 
 
2018
- Issues in the quantitative analysis of the SIPRI arms industry database
 Economics of Peace and Security Journal, 2018, 13, (2), 11-18   View citations (3)
 - Tests of Policy Interventions in DSGE Models
 Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2018, 80, (3), 457-484   View citations (1) 
See also  Working Paper Tests of Policy Interventions in DSGE Models, BCAM Working Papers (2017)   (2017)
 
 
2017
- Factor Models in Panels with Cross-sectional Dependence: An Application to the Extended SIPRI Military Expenditure Data
 Defence and Peace Economics, 2017, 28, (4), 437-456   View citations (14) 
See also  Working Paper Factor models in panels with cross-sectional dependence: an application to the extended SIPRI military expenditure data, Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance (2016)   View citations (3) (2016)
 - Medium-Run Implications of Changing Demographic Structures for the Macro-Economy
 National Institute Economic Review, 2017, 241, (1), R58-R64   View citations (3) 
Also in National Institute Economic Review, 2017, 241, R58-R64 (2017)  
 - Military Expenditure Data: Theoretical and Empirical Considerations
 Defence and Peace Economics, 2017, 28, (4), 422-428   View citations (11)
 - On the heterogeneous consequences of civil war
 Oxford Economic Papers, 2017, 69, (3), 550-568   View citations (29)
 
 
2016
- Counterfactual analysis in macroeconometrics: An empirical investigation into the effects of quantitative easing
 Research in Economics, 2016, 70, (2), 262-280   View citations (43) 
See also  Working Paper Counterfactual Analysis in Macroeconometrics: An Empirical Investigation into the Effects of Quantitative Easing, Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance (2014)   View citations (7) (2014)
 - The evolution of concentration in the arms market
 Economics of Peace and Security Journal, 2016, 11, (1), 12-17   View citations (3)
 
 
2014
- Constructing Multi-Country Rational Expectations Models
 Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2014, 76, (6), 812-840   View citations (23)
 - Signs of impact effects in time series regression models
 Economics Letters, 2014, 122, (2), 150-153   View citations (23) 
See also  Working Paper Signs of Impact Effects in Time Series Regression Models, CESifo Working Paper Series (2013)   View citations (4) (2013)
 - The economic costs of military conflict
 Journal of Peace Research, 2014, 51, (2), 245-256   View citations (32)
 
 
2013
- On Identification of Bayesian DSGE Models
 Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2013, 31, (3), 300-314   View citations (60) 
See also  Working Paper On Identification of Bayesian DSGE Models, IZA Discussion Papers (2011)   View citations (8) (2011)
 - The defense industry in an age of austerity
 Economics of Peace and Security Journal, 2013, 8, (1), 18-22   View citations (1)
 
 
2012
- Review of Microfit5
 Econometric Reviews, 2012, 31, (2), 241-244  
 
 
2011
- BEYOND THE DSGE STRAITJACKET-super-1
 Manchester School, 2011, 79, (s2), 5-16   View citations (9)
 
 
2010
- MILITARY EXPENDITURE AND GRANGER CAUSALITY: A CRITICAL REVIEW
 Defence and Peace Economics, 2010, 21, (5-6), 427-441   View citations (35) 
See also  Working Paper Military Expenditure and Granger Causality: A Critical Review, Working Papers (2010)   View citations (36) (2010)
 - Random coefficients models of arms imports
 Economic Modelling, 2010, 27, (6), 1522-1528   View citations (5)
 
 
2009
- Identification of New Keynesian Phillips Curves from a Global Perspective
 Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2009, 41, (7), 1481-1502   View citations (10) 
Also in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2009, 41, (7), 1481-1502 (2009) View citations (71) 
See also  Working Paper Identification of New Keynesian Phillips Curves from a Global Perspective, Cambridge Working Papers in Economics (2008)   View citations (83) (2008)
 - Keynes, investment, unemployment and expectations
 International Review of Applied Economics, 2009, 23, (4), 427-444   View citations (17)
 - Pairwise Tests of Purchasing Power Parity
 Econometric Reviews, 2009, 28, (6), 495-521   View citations (57)
 
 
2008
- Global Factors, Unemployment Adjustment and the Natural Rate
 Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), 2008, 2, 1-29   View citations (7) 
See also  Working Paper Global Factors, Unemployment Adjustment and the Natural Rate, Economics Discussion Papers (2007)   View citations (8) (2007)
 - THE DEMAND FOR MILITARY EXPENDITURE IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES: HOSTILITY VERSUS CAPABILITY
 Defence and Peace Economics, 2008, 19, (4), 293-302   View citations (52) 
See also  Working Paper The Demand for Military Expenditure in Developing Countries: Hostility versus Capability, Working Papers (2007)   View citations (1) (2007)
 
 
2007
- DETERMINING THE DEFENCE INDUSTRIAL BASE
 Defence and Peace Economics, 2007, 18, (3), 199-221   View citations (11)
 - Institutions and inflation persistence in the Caribbean
 Applied Economics Letters, 2007, 14, (4), 283-286   View citations (5)
 - What if the UK or Sweden had joined the euro in 1999? An empirical evaluation using a Global VAR
 International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2007, 12, (1), 55-87   View citations (109)
 
 
2006
- MACROECONOMETRIC MODELLING WITH A GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE*
 Manchester School, 2006, 74, (s1), 24-49   View citations (109) 
See also  Working Paper Macroeconometric Modelling with a Global Perspective, IEPR Working Papers (2006) View citations (107) (2006)
 - Managing asymmetric conflict
 Oxford Economic Papers, 2006, 58, (2), 183-208   View citations (8) 
See also  Working Paper Managing Asymmetric Conflict, Studies in Economics (2004)   (2004)
 - Monetary regimes and inflation in 12 Caribbean economies
 Journal of Economic Studies, 2006, 33, (2), 96-107   View citations (1)
 - Unobserved heterogeneity in panel time series models
 Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2006, 50, (9), 2361-2380   View citations (135) 
See also  Working Paper Unobserved Heterogeneity in Panel Time Series Models, Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance (2004)   View citations (14) (2004)
 
 
2005
- Capabilities and Well-Being: Evidence Based on the Sen–Nussbaum Approach to Welfare
 Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, 2005, 74, (1), 9-55   View citations (78) 
See also  Working Paper Capabilities and Wellbeing: Evidence Based on the Sen-Nussbaum Approach to Welfare, Open Discussion Papers in Economics (2004) View citations (17) (2004)
 - Is there an Arms Race between Greece and Turkey?
 Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, 2005, 11, (2), 140-174   View citations (13)
 - MODELS OF MILITARY EXPENDITURE AND GROWTH: A CRITICAL REVIEW
 Defence and Peace Economics, 2005, 16, (6), 449-461   View citations (265) 
See also  Working Paper Models of Military Expenditure and Growth: A Critical Review, Working Papers (2004)   View citations (24) (2004)
 - The Demand for Arms Imports
 Journal of Peace Research, 2005, 42, (2), 167-181   View citations (19)
 
 
2002
- Comments on 'The state of macroeconomic forecasting'
 Journal of Macroeconomics, 2002, 24, (4), 491-493  
 - MILITARY SPENDING, INVESTMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN SMALL INDUSTRIALISING ECONOMIES
 South African Journal of Economics, 2002, 70, (5), 789-790   View citations (45)
 - Peter Kennedy’s Sinning in the Basement: A Comment
 Journal of Economic Surveys, 2002, 16, (4), 611-613  
 
 
2001
- Equilibrium Cost Overruns
 Annals of Economics and Finance, 2001, 2, (2), 401-414   View citations (2)
 - Real Exchange Rate Effects on the Balance of Trade: Cointegration and the Marshall-Lerner Condition
 International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2001, 6, (3), 187-200   View citations (116)
 - The International Arms Industry Since the End of the Cold War
 World Economics, 2001, 2, (3), 155-166   View citations (5)
 
 
2000
- Arms Export Controls and Proliferation
 Journal of Conflict Resolution, 2000, 44, (6), 885-895   View citations (15)
 - Arms export controls and emerging domestic producers
 Defence and Peace Economics, 2000, 11, (3), 505-531   View citations (7)
 - Editorial Introduction: Arms Exports, Controls and Production
 Defence and Peace Economics, 2000, 11, (3), 443-444  
 - The Arms Trade Game: From Laissez-Faire to a Common Defence Policy
 Oxford Economic Papers, 2000, 52, (2), 357-80 View citations (9)
 - The Prisoner's Dilemma and Regime-Switching in the Greek-Turkish Arms Race
 Journal of Peace Research, 2000, 37, (6), 737-750   View citations (17)
 - The econometrics of arms races
 Defence and Peace Economics, 2000, 11, (1), 31-43   View citations (11)
 
 
1999
- Saving, Investment, and Capital Mobility in LDCs
 Review of International Economics, 1999, 7, (4), 632-40 View citations (49) 
See also  Working Paper Saving, Investment and Capital Mobility in LDCs, Archive Discussion Papers (1996) View citations (3) (1996)
 - Testing for Purchasing Power Parity: Econometric Issues and an Application to Developing Countries
 Manchester School, 1999, 67, (3), 287-303   View citations (24)
 - Unit roots and all that: the impact of time-series methods on macroeconomics
 Journal of Economic Methodology, 1999, 6, (2), 239-258   View citations (4)
 
 
1998
- Emergent policy-making with macroeconometric models
 Economic Modelling, 1998, 15, (3), 429-442   View citations (6)
 - Growth Empirics: A Panel Data Approach—A Comment
 The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1998, 113, (1), 319-323   View citations (101)
 - Prices and quantities in the arms trade
 Defence and Peace Economics, 1998, 9, (3), 223-236   View citations (5)
 - Quantitative Methods in Peace Research
 Journal of Peace Research, 1998, 35, (4), 419-427   View citations (8)
 - Structural Analysis of Cointegrating VARs
 Journal of Economic Surveys, 1998, 12, (5), 471-505   View citations (191) 
See also  Working Paper Structural Analysis of Cointegrating VARs, Cambridge Working Papers in Economics (1998) View citations (198) (1998)
 - The Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle and Capital Mobility: A Review
 International Journal of Finance & Economics, 1998, 3, (2), 169-88   View citations (154)
 
 
1997
- Growth and Convergence in Multi-country Empirical Stochastic Solow Model
 Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1997, 12, (4), 357-92   View citations (327) 
See also  Working Paper Growth and Convergence in a Multi-Country Empirical Stochastic Solow Model, Working Papers (1996)   View citations (12) (1996)
 - The English Football Industry: profit, performance and industrial structure
 International Review of Applied Economics, 1997, 11, (1), 135-153   View citations (117) 
See also  Chapter The English Football Industry: Profit, Performance and Industrial Structure, Palgrave Macmillan Books, 2010, 1-26 (2010) View citations (7) (2010)
 - The arms trade
 Economic Policy, 1997, 12, (25), 336-370   View citations (29)
 - The arms trade and the stability of regional arms races
 Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1997, 21, (2-3), 631-654   View citations (13)
 
 
1996
- Current Account Solvency and the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle
 Economic Journal, 1996, 106, (436), 620-27   View citations (161)
 
 
1995
- Estimating long-run relationships from dynamic heterogeneous panels
 Journal of Econometrics, 1995, 68, (1), 79-113   View citations (3049) 
See also  Working Paper Estimating Long-Run Relationships From Dynamic Heterogeneous Panels, Cambridge Working Papers in Economics (1992) View citations (130) (1992)
 - Executive Pay and Performance: The Empirical Importance of the Participation Constraint
 International Journal of the Economics of Business, 1995, 2, (3), 485-495   View citations (5)
 - The Arms Trade and Arms Control
 Economic Journal, 1995, 105, (429), 471-84   View citations (27)
 - The role of theory in econometrics
 Journal of Econometrics, 1995, 67, (1), 61-79   View citations (46)
 
 
1994
- Is Military Spending a Burden? A 'Marxo-Marginalist': Response
 Cambridge Journal of Economics, 1994, 18, (5), 515-21 View citations (5)
 
 
1991
- Measuring the Peace Dividend in the United Kingdom
 Journal of Peace Research, 1991, 28, (4), 345-358   View citations (15)
 - Military spending dynamics in a changing strategic environment
 Fiscal Studies, 1991, 12, (1), 29-43
 - On Error Correction Models: Specification, Interpretation, Estimation
 Journal of Economic Surveys, 1991, 5, (1), 97-128 View citations (66)
 - Spurious Structural Stability
 The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, 1991, 59, (4), 419-23 View citations (1)
 - The Phillips Curve, the Persistence of Inflation, and the Lucas Critique: Evidence from Exchange-Rate Regimes
 American Economic Review, 1991, 81, (5), 1254-75   View citations (187)
 
 
1990
- . by Nicole Ball. (London, Adamantine Press Limited, 1988, pp.432 £32.50)
 Journal of International Development, 1990, 2, (1), 141-142  
 - Defence procurement and industrial structure in the U.K
 International Journal of Industrial Organization, 1990, 8, (2), 185-205   View citations (8)
 - The Warwick ESRC macroeconomic modelling bureau: An assessment
 International Journal of Forecasting, 1990, 6, (3), 301-309   View citations (10)
 
 
1989
- Models of Military Expenditure
 Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1989, 4, (4), 345-59   View citations (54)
 
 
1985
- Cross arbitrage and specification in exchange rate models
 Economics Letters, 1985, 18, (4), 375-376   View citations (1)
 - Evaluation of macroeconometric models
 Economic Modelling, 1985, 2, (2), 125-134   View citations (15)
 - Testing for Structural Stability and Predictive Failure: A Review
 The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, 1985, 53, (3), 280-95 View citations (18)
 - The Economics of Exporting Arms
 Journal of Peace Research, 1985, 22, (3), 239-247   View citations (72)
 
 
1984
- Military expansion, economic decline:, Armonk, N. Y.: M. E. Sharpe, 1983. viii + 248 pp. (of which 138 pp. are tables). Cloth, $25.00; paper, $11.95
 Journal of Comparative Economics, 1984, 8, (3), 335-337  
 - Needs, Costs and Bureaucracy: The Allocation of Public Consumption in the UK
 Economic Journal, 1984, 94, (373), 1-15 View citations (19)
 - The Economic Consequences of Reduced UK Military Expenditure
 Cambridge Journal of Economics, 1984, 8, (3), 297-310 View citations (12)
 
 
1983
- Military Expenditure and Growth in Less Developed Countries
 Journal of Conflict Resolution, 1983, 27, (2), 335-353   View citations (117)
 - The allocative efficiency of government expenditure: Some comparative tests
 European Economic Review, 1983, 20, (1-3), 381-394   View citations (11)
 
 
1982
- Recession, the western economies, and the changing world order:, New York: St. Martin's Press, 1981. 181 pp., index. $22.50
 Journal of Comparative Economics, 1982, 6, (4), 426-427  
 
 
1980
- Military expenditure and investment in OECD countries, 1954-1973
 Journal of Comparative Economics, 1980, 4, (1), 19-32   View citations (68)
 - The Demand for Military Expenditure
 Economic Journal, 1980, 90, (363), 811-20   View citations (56) 
Also in Economic Journal, 1987, 97, (388), 989-90 (1987)   View citations (4)
 
 
1978
- Military Expenditure and Capitalism: A Reply
 Cambridge Journal of Economics, 1978, 2, (3), 299-304 View citations (15)
 
 
1977
- Military Expenditure and Capitalism
 Cambridge Journal of Economics, 1977, 1, (1), 61-76 View citations (66)
 
 
1974
- A Note on Car Replacement
 The Review of Economic Studies, 1974, 41, (4), 567-570   View citations (1)
 
 
Books
2022
- Defence Acquisition and Procurement
 Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press
 
 
2009
- Military Economics
 Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan
 
 
Chapters
2023
- Economic Consequences of Global Tensions
 Springer
 
 
2022
- Government Debt, Deficits and Interest Rates 1870–2016
 A chapter in Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modeling, 2022, vol. 43A, pp 323-340  
 
 
2021
- The Challenge of Identification and the Value of Descriptive Evidence
 Springer View citations (1)
 
 
2011
- The Economics of Peacekeeping
 Chapter 10 in Handbook on the Economics of Conflict, 2011   View citations (10)
 
 
2010
- The English Football Industry: Profit, Performance and Industrial Structure
 Palgrave Macmillan View citations (7) 
See also  Journal Article The English Football Industry: profit, performance and industrial structure, Taylor & Francis Journals (1997)   View citations (117) (1997)
 
 
2007
- The Econometrics of Military Arms Races
 Elsevier   View citations (12)
 
 
1996
- The International Peace Dividend
 A chapter in The Peace Dividend, 1996, pp 351-357  
 - The Macroeconomics of the Peace Dividend in the UK
 A chapter in The Peace Dividend, 1996, pp 117-135  
 
 
1994
- Measuring the Effects of Military Spending: Cross Sections or Time Series?
 Palgrave Macmillan View citations (1)
 
 
1987
- Defence and Employment in the UK and France: A Comparative Study of the Existing Results
 Palgrave Macmillan
 - Time-series Estimates of the Macroeconomic Impact of Defence Spending in France and the UK
 Palgrave Macmillan View citations (20) 
See also  Working Paper Time-series Estimates of the Macroeconomic Impact of Defence Spending in France and the UK, HAL (1987)   View citations (20) (1987)
 
 
Editor
- International Review of Applied Economics
 Taylor & Francis Journals
 
 
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