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Efficient Posterior Simulation for Cointegrated Models with Priors on the Cointegration Space

Gary Koop, Roberto Leon-Gonzalez and Rodney Strachan

Econometric Reviews, 2010, vol. 29, issue 2, 224-242

Abstract: A message coming out of the recent Bayesian literature on cointegration is that it is important to elicit a prior on the space spanned by the cointegrating vectors (as opposed to a particular identified choice for these vectors). In previous work, such priors have been found to greatly complicate computation. In this article, we develop algorithms to carry out efficient posterior simulation in cointegration models. In particular, we develop a collapsed Gibbs sampling algorithm which can be used with just-identifed models and demonstrate that it has very large computational advantages relative to existing approaches. For over-identifed models, we develop a parameter-augmented Gibbs sampling algorithm and demonstrate that it also has attractive computational properties.

Date: 2010
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (30)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Efficient Posterior Simulation for Cointegrated Models with Priors On the Cointegration Space (2006) Downloads
Software Item: RATS program to demonstrate Gibbs sampling in a cointegrated model Downloads
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DOI: 10.1080/07474930903382208

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