Details about Gary Koop

E-mail:
Homepage:	https://sites.google.com/site/garykoop/
Postal address:	Department of Economics University of Strathclyde Sir William Duncan Building 130 Rottenrow Glasgow G4 0GE Scotland, UK
Workplace:	Economics Department, University of Strathclyde, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Gary Koop.

Last updated 2019-09-30. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pko8

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Working Papers

2019

1. Inducing Sparsity and Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models
   Working Papers in Economics, University of Salzburg
   Also in Papers, arXiv.org (2019)
2. Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017
   EMF Research Papers, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group
   Also in Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) (2018) View citations (1)
3. Variational Bayesian Inference in Large Vector Autoregressions with Hierarchical Shrinkage
   Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) View citations (2)
   Also in CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2019) View citations (2)

2018

4. Composite Likelihood Methods for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility
   Working Paper Series, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney View citations (4)
   Also in CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2018) View citations (5)
5. Exchange rate predictability and dynamic Bayesian learning
   Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association View citations (1)
   Also in Essex Finance Centre Working Papers, University of Essex, Essex Business School (2017)
6. Forecasting with High-Dimensional Panel VARs
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany
   Also in Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow (2015) View citations (13)
   Essex Finance Centre Working Papers, University of Essex, Essex Business School (2018) View citations (2)
   Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (2018) View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics (2019)
7. Identifying Noise Shocks
   Working Paper Series, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney View citations (1)
8. UK Regional Nowcasting using a Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressive Model
   Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) View citations (1)
   Also in Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2018) View citations (3)
9. Variational Bayes inference in high-dimensional time-varying parameter models
   Essex Finance Centre Working Papers, University of Essex, Essex Business School View citations (3)
   Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2018) View citations (3)
   Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (2018) View citations (1)

2017

10. Bayesian Compressed Vector Autoregressions
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis View citations (2)
    Also in Working Papers, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Businesss School (2016) View citations (11)
    Working Papers, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Businesss School (2016) View citations (14)
    Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow (2016) View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (2019)

2015

11. A New Model of Inflation, Trend Inflation, and Long-Run Inflation Expectations
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (13)
12. Large Bayesian VARMAs
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis
    Also in SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2014) View citations (5)
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (2014) View citations (16)
    Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2014) View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (2016)
13. Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis View citations (3)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2014) View citations (9)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2014) View citations (2)
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (2014) View citations (6)
    Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow (2014) View citations (2)
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2014) View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in European Economic Review (2016)
14. The Contribution of Structural Break Models to Forecating Macroeconomic Series
    CORE Discussion Papers RP, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) View citations (4)
    Also in Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (2011) View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Applied Econometrics (2015)

2014

15. A Bounded Model of Time Variation in Trend Inflation, NAIRU and the Phillips Curve
    CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University
    Also in ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics (2012) View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Applied Econometrics (2016)
16. Nowcasting Scottish GDP Growth
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis View citations (1)
    Also in SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2014) View citations (1)
    Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2014)
17. The Known Unknowns of Governance
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis
    Also in Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2014)

2013

18. A New Index of Financial Conditions
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (14)
    Also in SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2013) View citations (14)
    Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow View citations (11)
    Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2013) View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article in European Economic Review (2014)
19. A new look at variation in employment growth in Canada
    Working Papers, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department
20. Domestic Violence and Football in Glasgow: Are Reference Points Relevant?
    Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics
    Also in SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2013)
    See also Journal Article in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics (2016)
21. Model Switching and Model Averaging in Time- Varying Parameter Regression Models
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2013) View citations (7)
    See also Chapter (2014)
22. Modelling Breaks and Clusters in the Steady States of Macroeconomic Variables
    ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics
    Also in Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2011)
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2011)
    CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2012)
    See also Journal Article in Computational Statistics & Data Analysis (2014)
23. Technical appendix to: a new look at variation in employment growth in Canada
    Working Papers, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department
24. Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables
    Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics
    Also in SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2013)
    See also Journal Article in Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics (2012)

2012

25. A New Model Of Trend Inflation
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2012) View citations (3)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2012) View citations (12)
    CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2012) View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (2013)
26. Bayesian Model Averaging in the Instrumental Variable Regression Model
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis View citations (22)
    Also in GRIPS Discussion Papers, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies (2011) View citations (3)
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2011) View citations (3)
    Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2011) View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (2012)
27. Estimating Phillips curves in turbulent times using the ECB's survey of professional forecasters
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (15)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2011) View citations (4)
28. Estimating the Impact on Efficiency of the Adoption of a Voluntary Environmental Standard: An Empirical Study of the Global Copper Mining Industry
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2011) View citations (1)
    Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2011)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Productivity Analysis (2013)
29. Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) View citations (15)
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2012) View citations (41)
    Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow (2012) View citations (20)
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (2012) View citations (14)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (2013)
30. The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectation
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) View citations (8)
    Also in SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2011) View citations (2)
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2008)
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (2009) View citations (1)
    Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2011)
    See also Journal Article in Computational Statistics & Data Analysis (2012)
31. Time Variation in the Dynamics of Worker Flows: Evidence from the US and Canada
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2011) View citations (2)

2011

32. A Comparison Of Forecasting Procedures For Macroeconomic Series: The Contribution Of Structural Break Models
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) View citations (7)
    Also in CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO (2011) View citations (7)
    CORE Discussion Papers, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) (2011) View citations (4)
    Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2011) View citations (5)
    Cahiers de recherche, CIRPEE (2011) View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Applied Econometrics (2015)
33. Bayesian Inference in a Time Varying Cointegration Model
    CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University View citations (14)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2011) View citations (14)
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2008) View citations (1)
    GRIPS Discussion Papers, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies (2008) View citations (2)
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (2008)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (2011)
34. Estimating Phillips Curves in Turbulent Times using the ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) View citations (2)
35. Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) View citations (5)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2011) View citations (5)
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2010) View citations (6)
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (2009) View citations (61)
    See also Journal Article in International Economic Review (2012)
36. Forecasting the European Carbon Market
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2011) View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (2013)
37. Forecasting with Medium and Large Bayesian VARs
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) View citations (23)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2011) View citations (19)
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (2010) View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Applied Econometrics (2013)
38. Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis View citations (26)
    Also in SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2011) View citations (4)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2011) View citations (5)
    CORE Discussion Papers, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) (2011) View citations (4)
    Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2011) View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Forecasting (2014)
39. On Identification of Bayesian DSGE Models
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) View citations (6)
    Also in Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2011) View citations (6)
    Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2011) View citations (6)
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2011) View citations (5)
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Group Munich (2011) View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (2013)
40. Regime-Switching Cointegration
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) View citations (2)
    Also in Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (2011) View citations (2)
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2011) View citations (2)
    Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2011) View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article in Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics (2015)
41. Time Varying Dimension Models
    Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics View citations (2)
    Also in CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2011)
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2010) View citations (3)
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (2010) View citations (4)
    ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics (2010) View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (2012)
42. UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) View citations (37)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2009) View citations (1)
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2009) View citations (1)
    Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2011) View citations (37)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Modelling (2011)
43. Understanding Liquidity and Credit Risks in the Financial Crisis
    SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) View citations (21)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2011) View citations (21)
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (2010) View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Empirical Finance (2011)

2010

44. A flexible approach to parametric inference in nonlinear and time varying time series models
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (2010)
45. Technical Appendix to: Understanding Liquidity and Credit Risks in the Financial Crisis
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis View citations (2)

2009

46. Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (65)
    Also in Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (2009) View citations (116)
    See also Journal Article in Foundations and Trends(R) in Econometrics (2010)
47. Modeling the Dynamics of Inflation Compensation
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis View citations (13)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Empirical Finance (2010)
48. Stochastic Search Variable Selection in Vector Error Correction Models with an Application to a Model of the UK Macroeconomy
    Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics View citations (4)
    Also in SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE) (2009)
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (2009) View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Applied Econometrics (2013)

2008

49. Bayesian Forecasting using Stochastic Search Variable Selection in a VAR Subject to Breaks
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Forecasting (2010)
50. Dynamic probabilities of restrictions in state space models: An application to the Phillips curve
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (2010)
51. On the Evolution of Monetary Policy
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis
52. Real-time Prediction with UK Monetary Aggregates in the Presence of Model Uncertainty
    Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series, Reserve Bank of New Zealand View citations (3)
    Also in Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics (2007) View citations (17)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (2009)

2007

53. A flexible approach to parametric inference in nonlinear time series models
    Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
54. Bayesian Econometric Methods
    Staff General Research Papers Archive, Iowa State University, Department of Economics View citations (91)
    See also Book (2019)
55. Bayesian Inference in a Cointegrating Panel Data Model
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis
    Also in Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester (2006) View citations (1)
56. Prior Elicitation in Multiple Change-point Models
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis
    Also in Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2004) View citations (7)
    Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester (2004) View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in International Economic Review (2009)
57. What is the Environmental Performance of Firms Overseas?: An Empirical Investigation of the Global Gold Mining Industry
    Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Productivity Analysis (2008)

2006

58. Efficient Posterior Simulation for Cointegrated Models with Priors On the Cointegration Space
    Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in Econometric Reviews (2010)
59. Forecasting Substantial Data Revisions in the Presence of Model Uncertainty
    Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics View citations (5)
    Also in Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (2006) View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Journal (2008)
60. Semiparametric Bayesian Inference in Smooth Coefficient Models
    Staff General Research Papers Archive, Iowa State University, Department of Economics View citations (10)
    Also in Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester (2003)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (2006)

2005

61. Bayesian approaches to cointegratrion
    Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute View citations (2)
    Also in Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester (2004) View citations (6)
62. Re-examining the Consumption-Wealth Relationship: The Role of Model Uncertainty
    Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester View citations (4)
    Also in Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2005) View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2008)
63. Semiparametric Bayesian Inference in Multiple Equation Models
    Staff General Research Papers Archive, Iowa State University, Department of Economics View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Applied Econometrics (2005)

2004

64. An Investigation of Thresholds in Air Pollution-Mortality Effects
    Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester View citations (2)
65. Bayesian Analysis of Long Memory and Persistence using ARFIMA Models
    Econometrics, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (4)
    Also in CORE Discussion Papers RP, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) (1997) View citations (4)
    CORE Discussion Papers, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) (1995) View citations (2)
    Working Papers, University of Toronto, Department of Economics (1995)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (1997)
66. Forecasting and Estimating Multiple Change-point Models with an Unknown Number of Change-points
    Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester View citations (10)
    Also in Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2004) View citations (8)
67. Learning About Heterogeneity in Returns to Schooling
    Staff General Research Papers Archive, Iowa State University, Department of Economics View citations (22)

2003

68. Alternative efficiency measures for multiple-output production
    ESE Discussion Papers, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (2005)
69. Bayesian Semiparametric Inference in Multiple Equation Models
    Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester View citations (1)
70. Forecasting in Large Macroeconomic Panels using Bayesian Model Averaging
    Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester View citations (38)
    Also in Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2003) View citations (35)

2002

71. Multiple-Output Production With Undesirable Outputs: An Application to Nitrogen Surplus in Agriculture
    Econometrics, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (51)
    Also in ESE Discussion Papers, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh (2002) View citations (21)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of the American Statistical Association (2002)
72. Parametric and Nonparametric Inference in Equilibrium Job Search Models
    Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester

2001

73. Bayesian Variants of Some classical Semiparametric Regression Techniques
    ESE Discussion Papers, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh View citations (21)
    Also in Working Papers, California Irvine - School of Social Sciences (2000) View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (2004)
74. Comparing the Performance of Baseball Players: A Multiple Output Approach
    ESE Discussion Papers, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh
    See also Journal Article in Journal of the American Statistical Association (2002)
75. Modeling the Evolution of Distributions: An Application to Major League Baseball
    ESE Discussion Papers, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh
    See also Journal Article in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (2004)

2000

76. Bayesian Analysis of Endogenous Delay Threshold Models
    ESE Discussion Papers, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (2003)
77. The Vector Floor and Ceiling Model
    Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester View citations (2)

1999

78. A Bayesian analysis of multiple-output production frontier
    ESE Discussion Papers, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (2000)
79. Are apparent findings of nonlinearity due to structural instability in economic time series?
    Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
    See also Journal Article in Econometrics Journal (2001)
80. Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Frontier Models
    ESE Discussion Papers, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh View citations (14)
81. Bayesian inference in models based on equilibrium search theory
    ESE Discussion Papers, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (2001)
82. Cross-sectoral patterns of efficiency and technical change in manufacturing: A stochastic frontier analysis
    ESE Discussion Papers, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh
83. Testing for Integration using Evolving Trend and Seasonals Models: A Bayesian Approach
    Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute View citations (2)
    Also in Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute (1997)
    Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute (1999) View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (2000)

1998

84. Dynamic asymmetries in US unemployment
    ESE Discussion Papers, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (1999)
85. The valuation of IPO, SEO and Post-Chapter 11 firms: A Stochastic Frontier Approach
    ESE Discussion Papers, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh

1997

86. A Stochastic Frontier Analysis of Output Level and Growth in Poland and Western Economies
    Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Change and Restructuring (2000)
87. Bayesian efficiency analysis through individual effects: Hospital cost frontiers
    CORE Discussion Papers RP, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) View citations (20)
    Also in CORE Discussion Papers, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) (1995)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (1997)

1995

88. Measuring the Sources of Output Growth in a Panel of Countries
    CORE Discussion Papers, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) View citations (5)
89. The Components of Output Growth: A Croos-Country Analysis
    Working Papers, Tilburg - Center for Economic Research View citations (5)
    Also in CORE Discussion Papers, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) (1995) View citations (5)
    Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research (1995) View citations (5)

1994

90. Bayesian efficiency analysis with a flexible form: The aim cost function
    Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research View citations (26)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (1994)
91. Hospital efficiency analysis through individual effects: A Bayesian approach
    Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research View citations (3)
92. Posterior Analysis of Stochastic Frontier Models using Gibbs Sampling
    CORE Discussion Papers, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE) View citations (14)
    Also in DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística (1992) View citations (1)

1993

93. A decision theoretic analysis of the unit root hypothesis using mixtures of elliptical models
    DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística
    Also in Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research (1991) View citations (1)
    Working Papers, Tilburg - Center for Economic Research (1991) View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (1994)
94. Bayesian efficiency analysis with a flexible cost function
    DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística

1992

95. Bayesian long-run prediction in time series models
    UC3M Working papers. Economics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (1995)
96. Posterior inference on long-run impulse responses
    UC3M Working papers. Economics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía
97. Stochastic frontier models: a bayesian perspective
    UC3M Working papers. Economics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (1994)

Undated

98. Bayesian modelling of catch in a Northwest Atlantic Fishery (first version)
    ESE Discussion Papers, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh

Journal Articles

2019

1. An empirical assessment of recent challenges in today's financial markets
   Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2019, 66, (1), 1-4
2. Bayesian compressed vector autoregressions
   Journal of Econometrics, 2019, 210, (1), 135-154 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper (2017)
3. Forecasting with High‐Dimensional Panel VARs
   Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2019, 81, (5), 937-959
   See also Working Paper (2018)

2018

4. A New Model of Inflation, Trend Inflation, and Long†Run Inflation Expectations
   Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2018, 50, (1), 5-53 View citations (6)
5. One size does not fit all… panel data: Bayesian model averaging and data poolability
   Economic Modelling, 2018, 75, (C), 364-376 View citations (2)

2017

6. Bayesian Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics
   Review of Economic Analysis, 2017, 9, (1), 33-56 View citations (1)

2016

7. A Bounded Model of Time Variation in Trend Inflation, Nairu and the Phillips Curve
   Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2016, 31, (3), 551-565 View citations (14)
   See also Working Paper (2014)
8. Domestic Violence and Football in Glasgow: Are Reference Points Relevant?
   Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2016, 78, (1), 1-21
   See also Working Paper (2013)
9. Large Bayesian VARMAs
   Journal of Econometrics, 2016, 192, (2), 374-390 View citations (3)
   See also Working Paper (2015)
10. Model uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive models
    European Economic Review, 2016, 81, (C), 115-131 View citations (17)
    See also Working Paper (2015)
11. Should we care about the uncertainty around measures of political-economic development?
    Journal of Comparative Economics, 2016, 44, (3), 752-763 View citations (3)

2015

12. Regime-switching cointegration
    Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 2015, 19, (1), 35-48 View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2011)
13. The Contribution of Structural Break Models to Forecasting Macroeconomic Series
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2015, 30, (4), 596-620 View citations (24)
    See also Working Paper (2011)
    Working Paper (2015)

2014

14. A new index of financial conditions
    European Economic Review, 2014, 71, (C), 101-116 View citations (61)
    See also Working Paper (2013)
15. A new look at variation in employment growth in Canada: The role of industry, provincial, national and external factors
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2014, 41, (C), 257-275 View citations (1)
16. Forecasting with dimension switching VARs
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2014, 30, (2), 280-290 View citations (6)
17. Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time‐Varying Parameter Models
    Journal of Forecasting, 2014, 33, (1), 80-94 View citations (41)
    See also Working Paper (2011)
18. Modelling breaks and clusters in the steady states of macroeconomic variables
    Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2014, 76, (C), 186-193 View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper (2013)
19. TIME VARIATION IN THE DYNAMICS OF WORKER FLOWS: EVIDENCE FROM NORTH AMERICA AND EUROPE
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2014, 29, (2), 265-290 View citations (3)

2013

20. A New Model of Trend Inflation
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2013, 31, (1), 94-106 View citations (34)
    See also Working Paper (2012)
21. Editorial: The Scottish Journal of Political Economy's 60th Birthday Issue
    Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2013, 60, (5), 461-461
22. Estimating the impact on efficiency of the adoption of a voluntary environmental standard: an empirical study of the global copper mining industry
    Journal of Productivity Analysis, 2013, 39, (1), 35-45
    See also Working Paper (2012)
23. Forecasting the European carbon market
    Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, 2013, 176, (3), 723-741 View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper (2011)
24. Forecasting with Medium and Large Bayesian VARS
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2013, 28, (2), 177-203 View citations (122)
    See also Working Paper (2011)
25. Large time-varying parameter VARs
    Journal of Econometrics, 2013, 177, (2), 185-198 View citations (130)
    See also Working Paper (2012)
26. Modeling the relationship between European carbon permits and certified emission reductions
    Journal of Empirical Finance, 2013, 24, (C), 166-181 View citations (4)
27. On Identification of Bayesian DSGE Models
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2013, 31, (3), 300-314 View citations (33)
    See also Working Paper (2011)
28. Stochastic search variable selection in vector error correction models with an application to a model of the UK macroeconomy
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2013, 28, (1), 62-81 View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2009)

2012

29. Bayesian model averaging in the instrumental variable regression model
    Journal of Econometrics, 2012, 171, (2), 237-250 View citations (21)
    See also Working Paper (2012)
30. FORECASTING INFLATION USING DYNAMIC MODEL AVERAGING
    International Economic Review, 2012, 53, (3), 867-886 View citations (125)
    See also Working Paper (2011)
31. The dynamics of UK and US inflation expectations
    Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2012, 56, (11), 3120-3133 View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2012)
32. Time Varying Dimension Models
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2012, 30, (3), 358-367 View citations (33)
    See also Working Paper (2011)
33. Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables
    Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, 2012, 4, (3), 143-167 View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2013)

2011

34. Bayesian inference in a time varying cointegration model
    Journal of Econometrics, 2011, 165, (2), 210-220 View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper (2011)
35. Do environmental regulations affect the location decisions of multinational gold mining firms?
    Journal of Economic Geography, 2011, 11, (1), 151-177 View citations (14)
36. Time varying VARs with inequality restrictions
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2011, 35, (7), 1126-1138 View citations (36)
37. UK macroeconomic forecasting with many predictors: Which models forecast best and when do they do so?
    Economic Modelling, 2011, 28, (5), 2307-2318 View citations (35)
    See also Working Paper (2011)
38. Understanding liquidity and credit risks in the financial crisis
    Journal of Empirical Finance, 2011, 18, (5), 903-914 View citations (21)
    See also Working Paper (2011)

2010

39. A flexible approach to parametric inference in nonlinear and time varying time series models
    Journal of Econometrics, 2010, 159, (1), 134-150 View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper (2010)
40. Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics
    Foundations and Trends(R) in Econometrics, 2010, 3, (4), 267-358 View citations (259)
    See also Working Paper (2009)
41. Bayesian forecasting using stochastic search variable selection in a VAR subject to breaks
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2010, 26, (2), 326-347 View citations (31)
    See also Working Paper (2008)
42. Dynamic Probabilities of Restrictions in State Space Models: An Application to the Phillips Curve
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2010, 28, (3), 370-379 View citations (17)
    See also Working Paper (2008)
43. Efficient Posterior Simulation for Cointegrated Models with Priors on the Cointegration Space
    Econometric Reviews, 2010, 29, (2), 224-242 View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper (2006)
44. Modeling the dynamics of inflation compensation
    Journal of Empirical Finance, 2010, 17, (1), 157-167 View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper (2009)

2009

45. On the evolution of the monetary policy transmission mechanism
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2009, 33, (4), 997-1017 View citations (106)
46. PRIOR ELICITATION IN MULTIPLE CHANGE-POINT MODELS
    International Economic Review, 2009, 50, (3), 751-772 View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (2007)
47. Real-Time Prediction With U.K. Monetary Aggregates in the Presence of Model Uncertainty
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2009, 27, (4), 480-491 View citations (48)
    See also Working Paper (2008)

2008

48. Forecasting Substantial Data Revisions in the Presence of Model Uncertainty
    Economic Journal, 2008, 118, (530), 1128-1144 View citations (19)
    See also Working Paper (2006)
49. Re-Examining the Consumption-Wealth Relationship: The Role of Model Uncertainty
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2008, 40, (2-3), 341-367 View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper (2005)
50. What is the environmental performance of firms overseas? An empirical investigation of the global gold mining industry
    Journal of Productivity Analysis, 2008, 30, (2), 129-143 View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2007)

2007

51. Editors' Introduction to the Special Issue of Econometric Reviews on Bayesian Dynamic Econometrics
    Econometric Reviews, 2007, 26, (2-4), 107-112
52. Estimation and Forecasting in Models with Multiple Breaks
    Review of Economic Studies, 2007, 74, (3), 763-789 View citations (98)

2006

53. Semiparametric Bayesian inference in smooth coefficient models
    Journal of Econometrics, 2006, 134, (1), 283-315 View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (2006)

2005

54. Alternative efficiency measures for multiple-output production
    Journal of Econometrics, 2005, 126, (2), 411-444 View citations (34)
    See also Working Paper (2003)
55. Current developments in productivity and efficiency measurement
    Journal of Econometrics, 2005, 126, (2), 233-240 View citations (15)
56. Semiparametric Bayesian inference in multiple equation models
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2005, 20, (6), 723-747 View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (2005)

2004

57. Bayesian variants of some classical semiparametric regression techniques
    Journal of Econometrics, 2004, 123, (2), 259-282 View citations (30)
    See also Working Paper (2001)
58. Forecasting in dynamic factor models using Bayesian model averaging
    Econometrics Journal, 2004, 7, (2), 550-565 View citations (91)
59. Measuring the health effects of air pollution: to what extent can we really say that people are dying from bad air?
    Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 2004, 47, (1), 30-54 View citations (18)
60. Modelling the evolution of distributions: an application to Major League baseball
    Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, 2004, 167, (4), 639-655
    See also Working Paper (2001)

2003

61. A Bayesian analysis of a variance decomposition for stock returns
    Journal of Empirical Finance, 2003, 10, (5), 583-601 View citations (7)
62. Bayesian Analysis of Endogenous Delay Threshold Models
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2003, 21, (1), 93-103 View citations (17)
    See also Working Paper (2000)

2002

63. Comparing the Performance of Baseball Players: A Multiple-Output Approach
    Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2002, 97, 710-720 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2001)
64. Modelling Recreation Demand Using Choice Experiments: Climbing in Scotland
    Environmental & Resource Economics, 2002, 22, (3), 449-466 View citations (69)
65. Multiple-Output Production With Undesirable Outputs: An Application to Nitrogen Surplus in Agriculture
    Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2002, 97, 432-442 View citations (52)
    See also Working Paper (2002)

2001

66. Are apparent findings of nonlinearity due to structural instability in economic time series?
    Econometrics Journal, 2001, 4, (1), 38 View citations (38)
    See also Working Paper (1999)
67. Bayesian inference in models based on equilibrium search theory
    Journal of Econometrics, 2001, 102, (2), 311-338 View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (1999)
68. Cross-Sectoral Patterns of Efficiency and Technical Change in Manufacturing
    International Economic Review, 2001, 42, (1), 73-103 View citations (15)
69. Go climb a mountain: an application of recreation demand modelling to rock climbing in Scotland
    Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2001, 52, (1), 36-52 View citations (12)
70. Testing for optimality in job search models
    Econometrics Journal, 2001, 4, (2), 6 View citations (2)
71. The valuation of IPO and SEO firms
    Journal of Empirical Finance, 2001, 8, (4), 375-401 View citations (16)

2000

72. A Bayesian analysis of multiple-output production frontiers
    Journal of Econometrics, 2000, 98, (1), 47-79 View citations (33)
    See also Working Paper (1999)
73. A Stochastic Frontier Analysis of Output Level and Growth in Poland and Western Economies
    Economic Change and Restructuring, 2000, 33, (3), 185-202 View citations (19)
    See also Working Paper (1997)
74. Modeling the Sources of Output Growth in a Panel of Countries
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2000, 18, (3), 284-99 View citations (44)
75. Testing for integration using evolving trend and seasonals models: A Bayesian approach
    Journal of Econometrics, 2000, 97, (2), 261-291 View citations (21)
    See also Working Paper (1999)

1999

76. Bayesian Analysis, Computation and Communication Software
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1999, 14, (6), 677-89 View citations (2)
77. Dynamic Asymmetries in U.S. Unemployment
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 1999, 17, (3), 298-312 View citations (82)
    See also Working Paper (1998)
78. Incomplete models and reweighting
    Econometric Reviews, 1999, 18, (1), 97-104
79. Is there an environmental Kuznets curve for deforestation?
    Journal of Development Economics, 1999, 58, (1), 231-244 View citations (110)
80. The Components of Output Growth: A Stochastic Frontier Analysis
    Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 1999, 61, (4), 455-87 View citations (53)

1998

81. Bayes factors and nonlinearity: Evidence from economic time series1
    Journal of Econometrics, 1998, 88, (2), 251-281 View citations (42)
82. Carbon dioxide emissions and economic growth: A structural approach
    Journal of Applied Statistics, 1998, 25, (4), 489-515 View citations (25)
83. On the sensitivity of unit root inference to nonlinear data transformations
    Economics Letters, 1998, 59, (1), 7-15 View citations (11)

1997

84. Bayesian analysis of long memory and persistence using ARFIMA models
    Journal of Econometrics, 1997, 76, (1-2), 149-169 View citations (23)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
85. Bayesian efficiency analysis through individual effects: Hospital cost frontiers
    Journal of Econometrics, 1997, 76, (1-2), 77-105 View citations (114)
    See also Working Paper (1997)
86. Learning about the across-regime correlation in switching regression models
    Journal of Econometrics, 1997, 78, (2), 217-227 View citations (24)
87. Measuring differential forest outcomes: A tale of two countries
    World Development, 1997, 25, (12), 2043-2056 View citations (1)

1996

88. Correction [Posterior Properties of Long-Run Impulse Responses]
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 1996, 14, (2), 257
89. Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models
    Journal of Econometrics, 1996, 74, (1), 119-147 View citations (1552)
90. Parameter uncertainty and impulse response analysis
    Journal of Econometrics, 1996, 72, (1-2), 135-149 View citations (34)

1995

91. An Empirical Investigation of Wagner's Hypothesis by Using a Model Occurrence Framework
    Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, 1995, 158, (1), 123-141
92. Bayesian long-run prediction in time series models
    Journal of Econometrics, 1995, 69, (1), 61-80 View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper (1992)

1994

93. A Decision-Theoretic Analysis of the Unit-Root Hypothesis Using Mixtures of Elliptical Models
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 1994, 12, (1), 95-107 View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (1993)
94. An objective Bayesian analysis of common stochastic trends in international stock prices and exchange rates
    Journal of Empirical Finance, 1994, 1, (3-4), 343-364 View citations (7)
95. Bayesian Efficiency Analysis with a Flexible Form: The AIM Cost Function
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 1994, 12, (3), 339-46 View citations (28)
    See also Working Paper (1994)
96. Bayesian Semi-nonparametric ARCH Models
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1994, 76, (1), 176-81 View citations (3)
97. Posterior Properties of Long-Run Impulse Responses
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 1994, 12, (4), 489-92 View citations (3)
98. Rank-Ordered Logit Models: An Empirical Analysis of Ontario Voter Preferences
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1994, 9, (4), 369-88 View citations (7)
99. Recent Progress in Applied Bayesian Econometrics
    Journal of Economic Surveys, 1994, 8, (1), 1-34 View citations (18)
100. Stochastic frontier models: A Bayesian perspective
     Journal of Econometrics, 1994, 61, (2), 273-303 View citations (131)
     See also Working Paper (1992)

1993

101. Bayesian analysis of logit models using natural conjugate priors
     Journal of Econometrics, 1993, 56, (3), 323-340 View citations (16)
102. Do recessions permanently change output?
     Journal of Monetary Economics, 1993, 31, (2), 149-163 View citations (232)
103. Econometric estimation of proportional hazard models
     Journal of Economics and Business, 1993, 45, (5), 421-430 View citations (2)

1992

104. 'Objective' Bayesian Unit Root Tests
     Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1992, 7, (1), 65-82 View citations (14)
105. Aggregate Shocks and Macroeconomic Fluctuations: A Bayesian Approach
     Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1992, 7, (4), 395-411 View citations (17)
106. Review of PCBRAP
     Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1992, 7, (1), 105-07

1991

107. Cointegration tests in present value relationships: A Bayesian look at the bivariate properties of stock prices and dividends
     Journal of Econometrics, 1991, 49, (1-2), 105-139 View citations (8)
108. Intertemporal Properties of Real Output: A Bayesian Analysis
     Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 1991, 9, (3), 253-65 View citations (10)
109. To Criticize the Critics: An Objective Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Trends: A Comment
     Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1991, 6, (4), 365-70 View citations (5)

Books

2019

1. Bayesian Econometric Methods
   Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press
   Also in Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press (2019)
   See also Working Paper (2007)

Edited books

2013

1. The Oxford Handbook of Bayesian Econometrics
   OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press

2011

2. The Oxford Handbook of Bayesian Econometrics
   OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press View citations (6)

Chapters

2014

1. Model Switching and Model Averaging in Time-Varying Parameter Regression Models
   A chapter in Bayesian Model Comparison, 2014, vol. 34, pp 45-69 View citations (2)
   See also Working Paper (2013)

Software Items

Editor

1. Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics
   Springer