Predictability of bitcoin returns
Jeremy Eng-Tuck Cheah,
Di Luo,
Zhuang Zhang and
Ming-Chien Sung
The European Journal of Finance, 2022, vol. 28, issue 1, 66-85
Abstract:
This paper comprehensively examines the performance of a host of popular variables to predict Bitcoin returns. We show that time-series momentum, economic policy uncertainty, and financial uncertainty outperform other predictors in all in-sample, out-of-sample, and asset allocation tests. Bitcoin returns have no exposure to common stock and bond market factors but rather are affected by Bitcoin-specific and external uncertainty factors.
Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:28:y:2022:i:1:p:66-85
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DOI: 10.1080/1351847X.2020.1835685
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