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Predictability of bitcoin returns

Jeremy Eng-Tuck Cheah, Di Luo, Zhuang Zhang and Ming-Chien Sung

The European Journal of Finance, 2022, vol. 28, issue 1, 66-85

Abstract: This paper comprehensively examines the performance of a host of popular variables to predict Bitcoin returns. We show that time-series momentum, economic policy uncertainty, and financial uncertainty outperform other predictors in all in-sample, out-of-sample, and asset allocation tests. Bitcoin returns have no exposure to common stock and bond market factors but rather are affected by Bitcoin-specific and external uncertainty factors.

Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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DOI: 10.1080/1351847X.2020.1835685

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