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Industry 4.0 as a ‘sudden change': the relevance of long waves of economic development for the regional level

Walter Scherrer

European Planning Studies, 2021, vol. 29, issue 9, 1723-1737

Abstract: While the rapid proliferation of the Industry 4.0 concept suggests that it brings about major economic change, the concept lacks a socio-economic foundation of change. In this context, the paper raises three questions: First, how sudden does the change brought about by Industry 4.0 occur, and, second, does it make a difference if it is conceived as sudden or not? Using a model of long waves of economic development and the concept of general purpose-technologies it is argued that much of the change brought about by Industry 4.0 is not of a sudden nature but largely represents the roll-out of the prevailing techno-economic paradigm, and that digitalization and artificial intelligence have the potential to trigger of a next long wave. The third question asks for possible implications of the long-wave perspective for adapting to an upcoming paradigm at the regional level. A major conclusion is that policy measures ought to reach beyond traditional innovation and technology-related policies and be implemented in the appropriate phase of a long wave.

Date: 2021
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:eurpls:v:29:y:2021:i:9:p:1723-1737

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DOI: 10.1080/09654313.2021.1963054

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