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Identifying the determinants of vacuum tube high-speed train development with technology roadmapping – a study from Poland

Joanna Duda, Rafał Kusa, Rafał Rumin, Marcin Suder and Jerzy Feliks

European Planning Studies, 2022, vol. 30, issue 2, 405-424

Abstract: The aim of this paper is to identify the conditions (both technical and non-technical) that determine the development of vacuum tube high-speed train technology. We employ technological roadmapping as a method. With this method, we analyze the planned process of the development of vacuum tube high-speed train technology in Poland. We have identified 65 conditions. They have been segregated into 4 groups (namely, legal, technological, economic, and social) and 20 development paths. These conditions are visible in the roadmap picturing the development process of vacuum tube high-speed train technology. Among the identified determinants, technical factors dominate; they relate to line infrastructure, stations, and vehicles. However, the development of technology is determined by legal, economic, and social conditions as well. Our study indicates that the successful implementation of the technology requires the management of all of the determining conditions and the mitigation of the impact of those that may be limited to others. The unveiled connotations among the examined factors can be implied by the decision-makers who are responsible for the development of transport infrastructure and vacuum tube high-speed train technology.

Date: 2022
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DOI: 10.1080/09654313.2021.1965098

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