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On the robustness of cointegration tests when series are fractionally intergrated

Jesus Gonzalo and Tae Hwy Lee

Journal of Applied Statistics, 2000, vol. 27, issue 7, 821-827

Abstract: This paper shows that when series are fractionally integrated, but unit root tests wrongly indicate that they are I(1), Johansen likelihood ratio (LR) tests tend to find too much spurious cointegration, while the Engle-Granger test presents a more robust performance. This result holds asymptotically as well as infinite samples. The different performance of these two methods is due to the fact that they are based on different principles. The Johansen procedure is based on maximizing correlations (canonical correlation) while Engle-Granger minimizes variances (in the spirit of principal components).

Date: 2000
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Related works:
Working Paper: On the robustness of cointegration tests when series are fractionally integrated (1996) Downloads
Working Paper: On the Robustness of Cointegration Tests when Series Are Fractionally Integrated (1995)
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DOI: 10.1080/02664760050120515

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