Semi-parametric modelling of temperature records

Terence C. Mills

Journal of Applied Statistics, 2012, vol. 39, issue 2, 361-383

Abstract: A range of instrumental and proxy temperature records are examined semi-parametrically, using empirical densities and quantile autoregressions containing a unit root, to assess the extent of non-stationarity and the presence of global warming trends. Only the instrumental records covering the last century and a half show any evidence of non-stationarity, but the trend behaviour of these series remains elusive.

Date: 2012
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DOI: 10.1080/02664763.2011.590190

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