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Volatility clustering in the presence of time-varying model parameters

Edoardo Otranto

Journal of Applied Statistics, 2013, vol. 40, issue 4, 901-915

Abstract: The volatility pattern of financial time series is often characterized by several peaks and abrupt changes, consistent with the time-varying coefficients of the underlying data-generating process. As a consequence, the model-based classification of the volatility of a set of assets could vary over a period of time. We propose a procedure to classify the unconditional volatility obtained from an extended family of Multiplicative Error Models with time-varying coefficients to verify if it changes in correspondence with different regimes or particular dates. The proposed procedure is experimented on 15 stock indices.

Date: 2013
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DOI: 10.1080/02664763.2012.759191

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