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Joint modeling of multivariate censored longitudinal and event time data with application to the Genetic Markers of Inflammation Study

Francis Pike, Lisa A. Weissfeld and Chung-Chou H. Chang

Journal of Applied Statistics, 2014, vol. 41, issue 10, 2178-2191

Abstract: The Genetic Markers of Inflammation Study (GenIMS) was conceived to investigate the role of severe sepsis, which is typically defined as system-wide multi-organ failure, on survival. One major hypothesis for this systemic collapse, and reduction in survival, is a cascade of pro-inflammatory and anti-inflammatory cytokines. In this paper, we devised a novel joint modeling strategy to evaluate the joint effect of longitudinal anti-inflammatory marker IL-6 and pro-inflammatory marker IL-10 on 90-day survival. We found that, on average, patients with high initial values of both IL-6 and IL-10, that tend to increase over time, are associated with a reduction in survival expectancy and that accounting for their assumed correlation was justified.

Date: 2014
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DOI: 10.1080/02664763.2014.909783

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