A dynamic double asymmetric copula generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model: application to China's and US stock market

Yan Fang, Ling Liu and JinZhi Liu

Journal of Applied Statistics, 2015, vol. 42, issue 2, 327-346

Abstract: Modeling the relationship between multiple financial markets has had a great deal of attention in both literature and real-life applications. One state-of-the-art technique is that the individual financial market is modeled by generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) process, while market dependence is modeled by copula, e.g. dynamic asymmetric copula-GARCH. As an extension, we propose a dynamic double asymmetric copula (DDAC)-GARCH model to allow for the joint asymmetry caused by the negative shocks as well as by the copula model. Furthermore, our model adopts a more intuitive way of constructing the sample correlation matrix. Our new model yet satisfies the positive-definite condition as found in dynamic conditional correlation-GARCH and constant conditional correlation-GARCH models. The simulation study shows the performance of the maximum likelihood estimate for DDAC-GARCH model. As a case study, we apply this model to examine the dependence between China and US stock markets since 1990s. We conduct a series of likelihood ratio test tests that demonstrate our extension (dynamic double joint asymmetry) is adequate in dynamic dependence modeling. Also, we propose a simulation method involving the DDAC-GARCH model to estimate value at risk (VaR) of a portfolio. Our study shows that the proposed method depicts VaR much better than well-established variance-covariance method.

Date: 2015
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Downloads: (external link)
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/02664763.2014.949639 (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:japsta:v:42:y:2015:i:2:p:327-346

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.tandfonline.com/pricing/journal/CJAS20

DOI: 10.1080/02664763.2014.949639

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of Applied Statistics is currently edited by Robert Aykroyd

More articles in Journal of Applied Statistics from Taylor & Francis Journals
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Chris Longhurst ().