Interval-censored data with misclassification: a Bayesian approach

Magda Carvalho Pires, Enrico Antônio Colosimo, Guilherme Augusto Veloso and Raquel de Souza Borges Ferreira

Journal of Applied Statistics, 2021, vol. 48, issue 5, 907-923

Abstract: Survival data involving silent events are often subject to interval censoring (the event is known to occur within a time interval) and classification errors if a test with no perfect sensitivity and specificity is applied. Considering the nature of this data plays an important role in estimating the time distribution until the occurrence of the event. In this context, we incorporate validation subsets into the parametric proportional hazard model, and show that this additional data, combined with Bayesian inference, compensate the lack of knowledge about test sensitivity and specificity improving the parameter estimates. The proposed model is evaluated through simulation studies, and Bayesian analysis is conducted within a Gibbs sampling procedure. The posterior estimates obtained under validation subset models present lower bias and standard deviation compared to the scenario with no validation subset or the model that assumes perfect sensitivity and specificity. Finally, we illustrate the usefulness of the new methodology with an analysis of real data about HIV acquisition in female sex workers that have been discussed in the literature.

Date: 2021
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DOI: 10.1080/02664763.2020.1753025

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