Validity of unbalanced growth theory and sectoral investment priorities in Indonesia: Application of feature ranking methods

Andisheh Saliminezhad and Fatma Guven-Lisaniler ()

The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 2018, vol. 27, issue 5, 521-540

Abstract: This study develops a new approach for testing the validity of unbalanced growth theory as well as determining the sectoral priorities for investment in Indonesia over the period 1995–2015. To this end, the high linkage sector(s) is identified through the input–output framework. Afterward, two different approaches, multiple linear regression and multi-layered perceptron (MLP) artificial neural network, are applied to capture the linear and nonlinear relationships between the extracted engine sectors and gross domestic product growth. Given that the detection of sector ranking is crucial for preparing a proper development plan, in the same vein we apply two types of feature-ranking methods (namely, stepwise regression and ant colony optimization (ACO-MLP based). The findings suggest a consistent relationship between the theory and economic growth in both linear and nonlinear models. However, the nonlinear model outperforms its competitor. In general, we find that the manufacturing sector is the most strategic sector in Indonesia, as it has been ranked first in both linear and nonlinear forms. Hence, its development path could be reinforced by more investment in this leading sector and then followed by investment in construction, hotels and restaurants, and agriculture.

Date: 2018
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

Downloads: (external link)
http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/09638199.2017.1398270 (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:jitecd:v:27:y:2018:i:5:p:521-540

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.tandfonline.com/pricing/journal/RJTE20

DOI: 10.1080/09638199.2017.1398270

Access Statistics for this article

The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development is currently edited by Pasquale Sgro, David E.A. Giles and Charles van Marrewijk

More articles in The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development from Taylor & Francis Journals
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Chris Longhurst ().