Heterogeneous Impacts of COVID-19 on trade: Evidence from China’s province-level data

Dapeng Cai and Kazunobu Hayakawa

The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 2022, vol. 31, issue 7, 1072-1085

Abstract: This study investigates how the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic affected China’s province-level trade. Using data on trade for January to April 2019 and 2020 and the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases or deaths, we empirically examine the effects of COVID-19-related damage on provincial exports and imports separately. We find that, on average, the COVID-19 pandemic did not lead to a reduction in provincial trade. However, we find negatively significant effects on trade in some provinces (e.g. those with a smaller number of deaths during a past coronavirus outbreak) and some industries (e.g. labor-intensive industries).

Date: 2022
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Working Paper: Heterogeneous impacts of COVID-19 on trade: evidence from China's province-level data (2020)
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DOI: 10.1080/09638199.2022.2053189

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