Treatment Evaluation With Multiple Outcome Periods Under Endogeneity and Attrition

Markus Frölich and Martin Huber

Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2014, vol. 109, issue 508, 1697-1711

Abstract: This article develops a nonparametric methodology for treatment evaluation with multiple outcome periods under treatment endogeneity and missing outcomes. We use instrumental variables, pretreatment characteristics, and short-term (or intermediate) outcomes to identify the average treatment effect on the outcomes of compliers (the subpopulation whose treatment reacts on the instrument) in multiple periods based on inverse probability weighting. Treatment selection and attrition may depend on both observed characteristics and the unobservable compliance type, which is possibly related to unobserved factors. We also provide a simulation study and apply our methods to the evaluation of a policy intervention targeting college achievement, where we find that controlling for attrition considerably affects the effect estimates. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.

Date: 2014
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Working Paper: Treatment Evaluation with Multiple Outcome Periods under Endogeneity and Attrition (2014)
Working Paper: Treatment evaluation with multiple outcome periods under endogeneity and attrition (2014)
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DOI: 10.1080/01621459.2014.896804

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