Efficient Stochastic Generators with Spherical Harmonic Transformation for High-Resolution Global Climate Simulations from CESM2-LENS2

Yan Song, Zubair Khalid and Marc G. Genton

Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2024, vol. 119, issue 548, 2493-2507

Abstract: Earth system models (ESMs) are fundamental for understanding Earth’s complex climate system. However, the computational demands and storage requirements of ESM simulations limit their utility. For the newly published CESM2-LENS2 data, which suffer from this issue, we propose a novel stochastic generator (SG) as a practical complement to the CESM2, capable of rapidly producing emulations closely mirroring training simulations. Our SG leverages the spherical harmonic transformation (SHT) to shift from spatial to spectral domains, enabling efficient low-rank approximations that significantly reduce computational and storage costs. By accounting for axial symmetry and retaining distinct ranks for land and ocean regions, our SG captures intricate nonstationary spatial dependencies. Additionally, a modified Tukey g-and-h (TGH) transformation accommodates non-Gaussianity in high-temporal-resolution data. We apply the proposed SG to generate emulations for surface temperature simulations from the CESM2-LENS2 data across various scales, marking the first attempt of reproducing daily data. These emulations are then meticulously validated against training simulations. This work offers a promising complementary pathway for efficient climate modeling and analysis while overcoming computational and storage limitations. Supplementary materials for this article are available online, including a standardized description of the materials available for reproducing the work.

Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1080/01621459.2024.2360666

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