Improving Tensor Regression by Optimal Model Averaging

Qiushi Bu, Hua Liang, Xinyu Zhang and Jiahui Zou

Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2025, vol. 120, issue 550, 1115-1126

Abstract: Tensors have broad applications in neuroimaging, data mining, digital marketing, etc. CANDECOMP/PARAFAC (CP) tensor decomposition can effectively reduce the number of parameters to gain dimensionality-reduction and thus plays a key role in tensor regression. However, in CP decomposition, there is uncertainty about which rank to use. In this article, we develop a model averaging method to handle this uncertainty by weighting the estimators from candidate tensor regression models with different ranks. When all candidate models are misspecified, we prove that the model averaging estimator is asymptotically optimal. When correct models are included in the set of candidate models, we prove the consistency of parameters and the convergence of the model averaging weight. Simulations and empirical studies illustrate that the proposed method has superiority over the competition methods and has promising applications. Supplementary materials for this article are available online, including a standardized description of the materials available for reproducing the work.

Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1080/01621459.2024.2398164

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