Is there a J-curve for Azerbaijan? New evidence from industry-level analysis
Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee,
Salman Huseynov and
Rustam Jamilov
Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, 2014, vol. 7, issue 1, 83-98
Abstract:
This paper estimates the J-curve for Azerbaijan using quarterly industry-level data over the 2000--2009 period. Empirical results show that in 3 of the 10 strategic industries there is strong evidence for the fulfilment of the Marshall--Lerner condition, as the trade balance improves in the long run in reaction to a currency devaluation. In most industries the J-curve pattern is observed in the short run. All 10 cases exhibit long-run cointegration and are stable according to the CUSUM and CUSUMSQ stability tests. These findings are largely consistent with the existing literature on the Azerbaijani J-curve and carry important policy implications.
Date: 2014
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:macfem:v:7:y:2014:i:1:p:83-98
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DOI: 10.1080/17520843.2013.831366
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