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Patterns in US Urban Growth, 1790-2000

Rafael González-Val () and Luis Lanaspa

Regional Studies, 2016, vol. 50, issue 2, 289-309

Abstract: G onzález- V al R . and L anaspa L. Patterns in US urban growth, 1790-2000, Regional Studies . This paper reconsiders the path of the growth of American cities since 1790 (when the first census was published). The null hypothesis for long-term growth is random growth. Evidence supporting random growth in city sizes is obtained by using panel unit root tests. Growth patterns different from the overall unit root trend detected are also extracted, with evidence found of high intra-distribution mobility (transition matrices) and 'local' mean-reverting behaviours (club convergence). The high mobility and the results of the clustering analysis are interpreted as signs of a sequential city growth pattern toward a random growth steady-state.

Date: 2016
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Related works:
Working Paper: Patterns in US Urban Growth (1790-2000) (2013) Downloads
Working Paper: Patterns in U.S. urban growth (1790–2000) (2011) Downloads
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