EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Patterns in US Urban Growth (1790-2000)

Rafael González-Val () and Luis Lanaspa ()

ERSA conference papers from European Regional Science Association

Abstract: This paper reconsiders the evolution of the growth of American cities since 1790 in light of new theories of urban growth. Our null hypothesis for long-term growth is random growth. We obtain evidence supporting random growth against the alternative of mean reversion (convergence) in city sizes using panel unit root tests. We also examine mobility within the distribution to try to extract growth patterns different from the general unit root trend detected. We find evidence of high mobility when we model growth as a first-order Markov process. Finally, using a cluster procedure we find strong evidence in favor of conditional convergence in city growth rates within convergence clubs, which we interpret as 'local' mean-reverting behaviors. We interpret the high mobility and the results of the clustering analysis as signs of a sequential city growth pattern.

Keywords: city size; urban growth; random growth; sequential city growth; transition matrices; club convergence (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013-11
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
http://www-sre.wu.ac.at/ersa/ersaconfs/ersa13/ERSA2013_paper_00254.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Patterns in US Urban Growth, 1790-2000 (2016) Downloads
Working Paper: Patterns in U.S. urban growth (1790–2000) (2011) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wiw:wiwrsa:ersa13p254

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in ERSA conference papers from European Regional Science Association Welthandelsplatz 1, 1020 Vienna, Austria.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Gunther Maier ().

 
Page updated 2020-01-21
Handle: RePEc:wiw:wiwrsa:ersa13p254