Change point detection of multimode processes considering both mode transitions and parameter changes

Jun Xu, Jie Zhou, Xiaofang Huang and Kaibo Wang

IISE Transactions, 2024, vol. 56, issue 12, 1263-1278

Abstract: Multimode processes are common in modern industry and refer to processes that work in multiple operating modes. Motivated by the torque control process of a wind turbine, we determine that there exist two types of changes in multimode processes: (i) mode transitions and (ii) parameter changes. Detecting both types of changes is an important issue in practice, but existing methods mainly consider one type of change, and thus, do not work well. To address this issue, we propose a novel modeling framework for the offline change point detection problem of multimode processes, which simultaneously considers mode transitions and parameter changes. We characterize each mode with a parametric cost function and formulate the problem as an optimization model. In the model, two penalty terms penalize the number of change points, and a series of constraints specify the multimode characteristics. With certain assumptions, the asymptotic property ensures the accuracy of the model solution. To solve the model, we propose an iterative algorithm and develop a multimode-pruned exact linear time (multi-PELT) method for initialization. The simulation study and the real case study demonstrate the effectiveness of our method against the state-of-the-art methods in terms of the accuracy of change point detection, mode identification, and parameter estimation.

Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1080/24725854.2023.2266001

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