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Economic Policy Uncertainty, COVID-19, and Tourist Stays in Croatia: Evidence from a Fourier Toda-Yamamoto Modeling Approach

James Payne, Saban Nazlioglu, Andrea Mervar and Farhang Niroomand

The International Trade Journal, 2023, vol. 37, issue 1, 7-26

Abstract: This study extends the literature with respect to economic policy uncertainty measures and tourism flows to Croatia through the use of the Toda and Yamamoto modeling approach with a Fourier approximation to capture structural breaks. The results show that domestic economic policy uncertainty does not have a significant impact on tourist overnight stays. However, an increase in European economic policy uncertainty reduces total and domestic tourist overnight stays. An increase in COVID-19 cases has a negative and significant impact on total, domestic, and foreign tourist overnight stays, and contributes to increases in both Croatian and European economic policy uncertainty.

Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:taf:uitjxx:v:37:y:2023:i:1:p:7-26

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DOI: 10.1080/08853908.2022.2134233

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