LES INDICATEURS D’ALERTE DE LA CRISE FINANCIÈRE DE 2000-2001 EN TURQUIE: UN MODÈLE DE PRÉVISION DE CRISE JUMELLE

Ali Ari (ali.ari@marmara.edu.tr) and Rustem Dagtekin
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Rustem Dagtekin: CEFI, Université de la Méditerranée

Region et Developpement, 2007, vol. 26, 35-50

Abstract: The 2000-2001 Turkish crisis has often been analysed in the literature without a solid econometric basis. This article presents a linear regression model as well as a logit model that enable us to measure the extent to which economic fundamentals and banking variables can account for sparking off the Turkish crisis. We aim to determine which factors have led Turkey to experience this crisis and to gain deeper insight into their nature.

Keywords: DÉFAILLANCE DU SYSTÈME BANCAIRE; CRISE DE CHANGE; MODÈLE DE CRISE DE TROISIÈME GÉNÉRATION; TURQUIE (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 C53 F47 G21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
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Related works:
Working Paper: Les indicateurs d'alerte de la crise financière de 2000-2001 en Turquie: un modèle de prévision de crise jumelle (2007)
Working Paper: Les Indicateurs d'Alerte de la Crise Financière de 2000-2001 en Turquie: Un Modèle de Prévision de Crise Jumelle (2007)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:tou:journl:v:26:y:2007:p:35-50

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