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Les Indicateurs d'Alerte de la Crise Financière de 2000-2001 en Turquie: Un Modèle de Prévision de Crise Jumelle

Early Warning Indicators of the 2000-2001 Turkish Financial Crisis: A Twin Crisis Prediction Model

Ali Ari () and Rustem Dagtekin

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: The 2000-2001 Turkish crisis has often been analysed in the literature without a solid econometric basis. This article presents a linear regression model as well as a logit model that enable us to measure the extent to which economic fundamentals and banking variables can account for the outcome of the Turkish crisis. We aim to determine which factors have led Turkey to experience this crisis and to gain deeper insight into its nature.

Keywords: Currency Crisis; Banking System Fragility; Third Generation Crisis Model; Turkey (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 C53 F47 G21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
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Published in Région et Développement 26 (2007): pp. 35-50

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https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/25856/1/MPRA_paper_25856.pdf original version (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: LES INDICATEURS D’ALERTE DE LA CRISE FINANCIÈRE DE 2000-2001 EN TURQUIE: UN MODÈLE DE PRÉVISION DE CRISE JUMELLE (2007) Downloads
Working Paper: Les indicateurs d'alerte de la crise financière de 2000-2001 en Turquie: un modèle de prévision de crise jumelle (2007)
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