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Endogenous Credit Cycles

Chao Gu, Fabrizio Mattesini, Cyril Monnet and Randall Wright

Journal of Political Economy, 2013, vol. 121, issue 5, 940 - 965

Abstract: This paper studies models of credit with limited commitment and, therefore, endogenous debt limits. There are multiple stationary equilibria plus nonstationary equilibria in which credit conditions change simply because of beliefs. There can be equilibria in which debt limits display deterministic cyclic or chaotic dynamics, as well as stochastic (sunspot) equilibria in which they fluctuate randomly, even though fundamentals are deterministic and time invariant. Examples and applications are discussed. We also consider different mechanisms for determining the terms of trade and compare the setup to other credit models in the literature.

Date: 2013
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Related works:
Working Paper: Endogenous credit cycles (2011) Downloads
Working Paper: Endogenous Credit Cycles (2011) Downloads
Working Paper: Endogenous Credit Cycles (2011) Downloads
Working Paper: Endogenous Credit Cycles (2010) Downloads
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