Exchange Rate Disconnect in General Equilibrium

Oleg Itskhoki and Dmitry Mukhin

Journal of Political Economy, 2021, vol. 129, issue 8, 2183 - 2232

Abstract: We propose a dynamic general equilibrium model of exchange rate determination that accounts for all major exchange rate puzzles, including Meese-Rogoff, Backus-Smith, purchasing power parity, and uncovered interest rate parity puzzles. We build on a standard international real business cycle model with home bias in consumption, augmented with shocks in the financial market that result in a volatile near-martingale behavior of exchange rates and ensure their empirically relevant comovement with macroeconomic variables, both nominal and real. Combining financial shocks with conventional productivity and monetary shocks allows the model to reproduce the exchange rate disconnect properties without compromising the fit of the business cycle moments.

Date: 2021
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Related works:
Working Paper: Exchange rate disconnect in general equilibrium (2021)
Working Paper: Exchange Rate Disconnect in General Equilibrium (2017)
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