EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Job Creation Tax Credits, Fiscal Foresight, and Job Growth: Evidence from US States

Robert S. Chirinko and Daniel Wilson

National Tax Journal, 2023, vol. 76, issue 3, 481 - 523

Abstract: We study fiscal foresight using state panel variation in job creation tax credits (JCTCs) and their implementation lags. Using inverse probability weighting to address potential endogeneity, we estimate the dynamic effects of JCTCs during implementation lags, when they go into effect, and afterward. Failing to account for the distorting effects of fiscal foresight results in upwardly biased estimates of their initial impact by about one-third. The true initial impact is small. However, the longer-run cumulative effect is economically significant and implies a fairly low cost per job of approximately $15,000 and a local fiscal multiplier of 1.11–4.22.

Date: 2023
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/724973 (application/pdf)
http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/724973 (text/html)
Access to the online full text or PDF requires a subscription.

Related works:
Working Paper: Job Creation Tax Credits, Fiscal Foresight, and Job Growth: Evidence from U.S. States (2016) Downloads
Working Paper: Job creation tax credits, fiscal foresight,and job growth: evidence from U.S. States (2016) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ucp:nattax:doi:10.1086/724973

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in National Tax Journal from University of Chicago Press
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Journals Division ().

 
Page updated 2025-03-20
Handle: RePEc:ucp:nattax:doi:10.1086/724973