Details about Daniel Wilson

Homepage:	https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/economists/daniel-wilson/
Workplace:	Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, (more information at EDIRC) Economic Research, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Daniel Wilson.

Last updated 2023-08-04. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pwi26

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Jump to Journal Articles Chapters

Working Papers

2023

1. Climate Change and the Geography of the U.S. Economy
   Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (1)
2. Fiscal Foresight and Perverse Distortions to Firm Behavior: Anticipatory Dips and Compensating Rebounds
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo
   Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2023)
3. Fiscal Policies for Job Creation and Innovation: The Experiences of US States
   Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
   Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2022)

2022

4. The Road of Federal Infrastructure Spending Passes Through the States
   Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

2021

5. Taking the Fed at its Word: A New Approach to Estimating Central Bank Objectives using Text Analysis
   Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (10)
   See also Journal Article in Review of Economic Studies (2022)

2020

6. Measuring News Sentiment
   Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (51)
   See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (2022)
7. The Local Economic Impact of Natural Disasters
   Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (8)
8. Weather, Social Distancing, and the Spread of COVID-19
   Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (7)

2019

9. Taxing Billionaires: Estate Taxes and the Geographical Location of the Ultra-Wealthy
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (10)
   Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2019) View citations (4)
   Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2019) View citations (4)
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2019) View citations (10)
   See also Journal Article in American Economic Journal: Economic Policy (2023)

2018

10. From NY to LA: A Look at the Wage Phillips Curve Using Cross-Geographical Data
    2018 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (3)

2017

11. Clearing the Fog: The Predictive Power of Weather for Employment Reports and their Asset Price Responses
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review: Insights (2019)
12. Tax competition among U.S. States: racing to the bottom or riding on a seesaw?
    Working Papers, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance View citations (43)
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2011) View citations (19)
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2007) View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Public Economics (2017)

2016

13. Job Creation Tax Credits, Fiscal Foresight, and Job Growth: Evidence from U.S. States
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (6)
    Also in Working Papers, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance (2016) View citations (4)
14. Taxation, multinationals and foreign direct investment / Tributación, multinacionales e inversión extranjera directa / Tributació, multinacionals i inversió estrangera directa
    IEB Reports, Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB) View citations (1)
15. The Effect of State Taxes on the Geographical Location of Top Earners: Evidence from Star Scientists
    2016 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (4)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2015) View citations (23)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2015) View citations (18)
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2015) View citations (11)
    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (2017)
16. The Impact of Weather on Local Employment: Using Big Data on Small Places
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

2013

17. Are State Governments Roadblocks to Federal Stimulus? Evidence on the Flypaper Effect of Highway Grants in the 2009 Recovery Act
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article in American Economic Journal: Economic Policy (2017)
18. Inequality and Mortality: New Evidence from U.S. County Panel Data
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (5)
19. State Incentives for Innovation, Star Scientists and Jobs: Evidence from Biotech
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (10)
    Also in Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis (2013) View citations (10)
    Upjohn Working Papers, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research (2013) View citations (10)
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2013) View citations (6)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2013) View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Urban Economics (2014)

2012

20. Relative status and well-being: evidence from U.S. suicide deaths
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (7)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2007) View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article in The Review of Economics and Statistics (2013)
21. Roads to Prosperity or Bridges to Nowhere? Theory and Evidence on the Impact of Public Infrastructure Investment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (53)
    Also in 2012 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2012) View citations (47)
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2012) View citations (17)
    See also Journal Article in NBER Macroeconomics Annual (2013)
    Chapter (2012)
22. Should transportation spending be included in a stimulus program? a review of the literature
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (4)

2010

23. Can Lower Tax Rates be Bought? Business Rent-Seeking and Tax Competition among U.S. States
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (27)
    Also in Working Papers, Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB) (2010) View citations (5)
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2009) View citations (4)
24. Fiscal spending multipliers: evidence from the 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (27)
25. Job creation tax credits and job growth: whether, when, and where?
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (9)
26. The happiness - suicide paradox
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

2009

27. A state level database for the manufacturing sector: construction and sources
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (6)

2008

28. Happiness, unhappiness, and suicide: an empirical assessment
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of the European Economic Association (2009)

2007

29. State Investment Tax Incentives: A Zero-Sum Game?
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (4)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2006) View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Public Economics (2008)

2006

30. Keeping up with the Joneses and staying ahead of the Smiths: evidence from suicide data
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (9)
31. State investment tax incentives: what are the facts?
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (10)

2005

32. Beggar thy neighbor? the in-state vs. out-of-state impact of state R&D tax credits
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (14)
33. Micro and Macro Data Integration: The Case of Capital
    Working Papers, U.S. Census Bureau, Center for Economic Studies View citations (41)
    See also Chapter (2006)

2004

34. IT and Beyond: The Contribution of Heterogenous Capital to Productivity
    Working Papers, U.S. Census Bureau, Center for Economic Studies View citations (3)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2004) View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (2009)
35. Investment Behavior of U.S. Firms Over Heterogenous Capital Goods: A Snapshot
    Working Papers, U.S. Census Bureau, Center for Economic Studies View citations (5)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2004) View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Review of Income and Wealth (2008)

2003

36. Importing Technology
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (21)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2003) View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2004)

2002

37. Quantifying embodied technological change
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (3)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2001) View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in Review of Economic Dynamics (2004)

2001

38. Embodying embodiment in a structural, macroeconomic input-output model
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
    See also Journal Article in Economic Systems Research (2003)
39. Is embodied technology the result of upstream R&D? industry-level evidence
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Review of Economic Dynamics (2002)
40. The production-side approach to estimating embodied technological change
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (9)
    Also in Electronic Working Papers, University of Maryland, Department of Economics (2000) View citations (4)

Journal Articles

2023

1. Taxing Billionaires: Estate Taxes and the Geographical Location of the Ultra-Wealthy
   American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2023, 15, (2), 424-66
   See also Working Paper (2019)
2. Will a Cooler Labor Market Slow Supercore Inflation?
   FRBSF Economic Letter, 2023, 2023, (18), 6

2022

3. Can the News Drive Inflation Expectations?
   FRBSF Economic Letter, 2022, 2022, (31), 6
4. Measuring news sentiment
   Journal of Econometrics, 2022, 228, (2), 221-243 View citations (20)
   See also Working Paper (2020)
5. Taking the Fed at its Word: A New Approach to Estimating Central Bank Objectives using Text Analysis
   (Inflation Targeting Does Not Anchor Inflation Expectations: Evidence from Firms in New Zealand)
   Review of Economic Studies, 2022, 89, (5), 2768-2805 View citations (11)
   See also Working Paper (2021)

2021

6. How Strongly Are Local Economies Tied to COVID-19?
   FRBSF Economic Letter, 2021, 2021, (30), 5
7. Where Is the U.S. COVID-19 Pandemic Headed?
   FRBSF Economic Letter, 2021, 2021, (11), 01-06

2020

8. News Sentiment in the Time of COVID-19
   FRBSF Economic Letter, 2020, 2020, (08), 05 View citations (23)
9. The COVID-19 Fiscal Multiplier: Lessons from the Great Recession
   FRBSF Economic Letter, 2020, 2020, (13), 5 View citations (2)

2019

10. Clearing the Fog: The Predictive Power of Weather for Employment Reports and Their Asset Price Responses
    American Economic Review: Insights, 2019, 1, (3), 373-88 View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2017)
11. Does Ultra-Low Unemployment Spur Rapid Wage Growth?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2019 View citations (3)
12. The Evolution of the FOMC’s Explicit Inflation Target
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2019

2018

13. Fiscal Policy in Good Times and Bad
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2018

2017

14. Are State Governments Roadblocks to Federal Stimulus? Evidence on the Flypaper Effect of Highway Grants in the 2009 Recovery Act
    American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2017, 9, (2), 253-92 View citations (47)
    See also Working Paper (2013)
15. Has the Wage Phillips Curve Gone Dormant?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2017 View citations (11)
16. Tax competition among U.S. states: Racing to the bottom or riding on a seesaw?
    Journal of Public Economics, 2017, 155, (C), 147-163 View citations (51)
    See also Working Paper (2017)
17. The Effect of State Taxes on the Geographical Location of Top Earners: Evidence from Star Scientists
    American Economic Review, 2017, 107, (7), 1858-1903 View citations (142)
    See also Working Paper (2016)
18. What's in the News? A New Economic Indicator
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2017

2016

19. Clearing the Fog: The Effects of Weather on Jobs
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2016
20. How Important Is Information from FOMC Minutes?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2016 View citations (3)

2015

21. Competing for jobs: local taxes and incentives
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2015 View citations (1)
22. Residual seasonality and monetary policy
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2015
23. The puzzle of weak first-quarter GDP growth
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2015 View citations (8)

2014

24. Fueling road spending with federal stimulus
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2014 View citations (2)
25. Infrastructure Spending as Fiscal Stimulus: Assessing the Evidence
    Review of Economics and Institutions, 2014, 5, (1) View citations (1)
26. Innovation and incentives: evidence from biotech
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2014
27. State incentives for innovation, star scientists and jobs: Evidence from biotech
    Journal of Urban Economics, 2014, 79, (C), 20-38 View citations (82)
    See also Working Paper (2013)

2013

28. Fiscal headwinds: Is the other shoe about to drop?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2013, (june3) View citations (1)
29. Relative Status and Well-Being: Evidence from U.S. Suicide Deaths
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2013, 95, (5), 1480-1500 View citations (42)
    See also Working Paper (2012)
30. Roads to Prosperity or Bridges to Nowhere? Theory and Evidence on the Impact of Public Infrastructure Investment
    NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 2013, 27, (1), 89 - 142 View citations (64)
    See also Chapter (2012)
    Working Paper (2012)
31. Taxes, transfers, and state economic differences
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2013, (dec2) View citations (1)

2012

32. Empirical Macroeconomics Using Geographical Data: Guest Editors' Introduction
    The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2012, 12, (2), 1-3
33. Fiscal Spending Jobs Multipliers: Evidence from the 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act
    American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2012, 4, (3), 251-82 View citations (159)
34. Government spending: an economic boost?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2012, (feb6) View citations (2)
35. Highway grants: roads to prosperity?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2012, (nov26) View citations (2)
36. U.S. fiscal policy: headwind or tailwind?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2012, (july2) View citations (5)

2011

37. Dark contrasts: The paradox of high rates of suicide in happy places
    Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2011, 80, (3), 435-442 View citations (32)
38. What's in your wallet? the future of cash
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2011, (oct24)

2010

39. Fiscal crises of the states: causes and consequences
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2010, (jun28) View citations (4)
40. Is the recent productivity boom over?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2010, (sep20) View citations (6)
41. State business taxes and investment: state-by-state simulations
    Economic Review, 2010, 13-28 View citations (3)
42. The U.S. and world economic geography before and after the downturn: conference summary
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2010, (apr26)

2009

43. Are fiscal stimulus funds going to the \\"right\\" states?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2009, (apr17) View citations (1)
44. Beggar Thy Neighbor? The In-State, Out-of-State, and Aggregate Effects of R&D Tax Credits
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2009, 91, (2), 431-436 View citations (236)
45. Happiness, Unhappiness, and Suicide: An Empirical Assessment
    Journal of the European Economic Association, 2009, 7, (2-3), 539-549 View citations (46)
    See also Working Paper (2008)
46. IT and Beyond: The Contribution of Heterogeneous Capital to Productivity
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2009, 27, 52-70 View citations (31)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
47. Tax credits for job creation and retention: What can we learn from the states?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2009, (feb20)

2008

48. INVESTMENT BEHAVIOR OF U.S. FIRMS OVER HETEROGENEOUS CAPITAL GOODS: A SNAPSHOT
    Review of Income and Wealth, 2008, 54, (2), 269-278 View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
49. Recent trends in economic volatility: conference summary
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2008, (feb15)
50. Research on the effects of fiscal stimulus: symposium summary
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2008, (jul3)
51. State investment tax incentives: A zero-sum game?
    Journal of Public Economics, 2008, 92, (12), 2362-2384 View citations (127)
    See also Working Paper (2007)

2007

52. Changes in income inequality across the U.S
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2007, (sep21)
53. Relative comparisons and economics: empirical evidence
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2007, (oct5)

2006

54. Productivity growth: causes and consequences - conference summary
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2006, (feb24)
55. The mystery of falling state corporate income taxes
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2006, (dec8) View citations (3)

2005

56. Are state R&D tax credits constitutional? an economic perspective
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2005, (jun3) View citations (1)
57. The rise and spread of state R&D tax credits
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2005, (oct14)

2004

58. Do differences in countries' capital composition matter?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2004, (apr9)
59. Importing technology
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2004, 51, (1), 1-32 View citations (98)
    Also in Proceedings, 2002, (Nov) (2002) View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper (2003)
60. Quantifying Embodied Technological Change
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2004, 7, (1), 1-26 View citations (50)
    See also Working Paper (2002)

2003

61. Are we running out of new ideas? a look at patents and R&D
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2003, (sep12)
62. Embodying Embodiment in a Structural, Macroeconomic Input-Output Model
    Economic Systems Research, 2003, 15, (3), 371-398 View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2001)
63. Where to find the productivity gains from innovation?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2003, (feb21) View citations (1)

2002

64. ETC (embodied technological change), etc
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2002, (mar1)
65. Is Embodied Technology the Result of Upstream R&D? Industry-Level Evidence
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2002, 5, (2), 285-317 View citations (19)
    See also Working Paper (2001)
66. Productivity in the Twelfth District
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2002, (nov8) View citations (3)

2000

67. Estimating Returns to Scale: Lo, Still No Balance
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2000, 22, (2), 285-314 View citations (4)

Chapters

2012

1. Roads to Prosperity or Bridges to Nowhere? Theory and Evidence on the Impact of Public Infrastructure Investment
   A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2012, Volume 27, 2012, pp 89-142 View citations (39)
   See also Journal Article in NBER Macroeconomics Annual (2013)
   Working Paper (2012)

2006

2. Micro and Macro Data Integration: The Case of Capital
   A chapter in A New Architecture for the US National Accounts, 2006, pp 541-610 View citations (29)
   See also Working Paper (2005)