Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine

2015 - 2022

From National Bank of Ukraine
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The Role of the Media in the Inflation Expectation Formation Process pp. 4-26: Tetiana Yukhymenko
A Heatmap for Monitoring Systemic Financial Stability Risks in Ukraine pp. 27-46: Adam Gersl, Pervin Dadashova, Yuliya Bazhenova, Vladyslav Filatov, Anatolii Hlazunov and Roman Soltysiak

A Suite of Models for CPI Forecasting pp. 4-36: Nadiia Shapovalenko
Identifying Insurance Companies’ Business Models in Ukraine: Cluster Analysis and Machine Learning pp. 37-55: Oleksandr Tarnavskyi and Viktor Kolomiiets

Determinants of Corporate Loan Interest Rate: Case of Ukraine pp. 4-13: Solomiya Shpak
A BVAR Model for Forecasting Ukrainian Inflation and GDP pp. 14-36: Nadiia Shapovalenko
A New Financial Stress Index for Ukraine pp. 37-54: Vladyslav Filatov

How Does the Interest Rate Influence the Exchange Rate? pp. 4-14: Adam Hashchyshyn, Kateryna Marushchak, Oleksandr Sukhomlyn and Andrii Tarasenko
The Missing “Cycle” Part and Other Thoughts on the Global Financial Cycle pp. 15-32: Olga Bondarenko
Predicting Bank Defaults in Ukraine: A Macro-Micro Perspective pp. 33-44: Anatolii Hlazunov and Olesia Verchenko

Consumer Lending in Ukraine: Estimation of the Equilibrium Level pp. 4-12: Attila Csajbok, Pervin Dadashova, Pavlo Shykin and Balázs Vonnák
Data Science Opportunities at Central Banks: Overview pp. 13-24: Dmytro Krukovets
The Impact of Weather Conditions on Economic Activity in Ukraine pp. 25-49: Hanna Yatsenko
Foreign Assistance and Consumption Inequality: Does the Structure of Aid Matter? pp. 50-70: Nestor Cheryba

Price-Setting in Ukraine: Evidence from Online Prices pp. 4-10: Anastasiia Antonova
Short-Run Forecasting of Core Inflation in Ukraine: a Combined ARMA Approach pp. 11-20: Dmytro Krukovets and Olesia Verchenko

How Trade Composition Affects Sensitivity to Foreign Shocks: Applying a Global VAR Model to Ukraine pp. 4-18: Oleksandr Faryna and Heli Simola
The Effectiveness of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Ukraine since the Transition to Inflation Targeting pp. 19-37: Oleksandr Zholud, Volodymyr Lepushynskyi and Sergiy Nikolaychuk
Estimating a Natural Level of Financial Dollarization in Ukraine pp. 38-44: Kostiantyn Khvedchuk, Valentyna Sinichenko and Barry Topf

Applications for DSGE Models in Central Banking: Key Issues Explored During Research Workshop of the National Bank of Ukraine pp. 4-9: Sergii Kiiashko
Macroeconomic Effects of Minimum Wage Increases in an Economy with Wage Underreporting pp. 10-33: Anastasiia Antonova
Efficiency in the Market for Financial Advisory Services to Businesses pp. 34-49: Shaun Hargreaves-Heap and Oleksandr Talavera

Land Reform in the Credit Cycle Framework: The Case of Ukraine pp. 4-29: Mykhailo Matvieiev
Communicative Efficiency in Ukraine's Banking System: Evidence From Independent Auditor Reports pp. 30-44: Oleksandr Sukhomlyn
Estimating the Fiscal Impulse in Ukraine pp. 45-63: Artem Vdovychenko

Price Stability and Inflation Targeting in Commodity Economies: Macroeconomics versus a Political Economy? pp. 4-24: Viktor Koziuk
How Does Fiscal Policy Affect GDP and Inflation in Ukraine? pp. 25-43: Artem Vdovychenko
The Redistributive Effects of Monetary Policy Across Generations pp. 44-60: Olga Bondarenko

A Neutral Real Interest Rate in the Case of a Small Open Economy: Application to Ukraine pp. 4-20: Anton Grui, Volodymyr Lepushynskyi and Sergiy Nikolaychuk
What Drives the Difference between Online and Official Price Indexes? pp. 21-32: Oleksandr Faryna, Oleksandr Talavera and Tetiana Yukhymenko
Macroeconomic Effects of Introducing a Capital Conservation Buffer in the Ukrainian Banking Sector pp. 33-42: Pervin Dadashova, Magnus Jonsson and Hanna Onyshchenko

Nowcasting Ukraine's GDP Using a Factor-Augmented VAR (FAVAR) Model pp. 5-13: Anton Grui and Roman Lysenko
Evolving Ukraine’s Deposit Guarantee System Towards Global Standards: A Macroprudential Perspective pp. 14-27: Andriy Danylenko
Behavioral Finance: Household Investment and Borrowing Decisions pp. 28-48: Pavlo Illiashenko

Do Firm-Bank Relationships Affect Corporate Cash Holdings? pp. 5-20: Andriy Tsapin
How Does Credit Risk Influence Liquidity Risk? Evidence from Ukrainian Banks pp. 21-32: Ruoyu Cai and Mao Zhang
The Impact of Anticipated and Unanticipated Exchange Rate Variability in Ukraine pp. 33-46: Viktor Shevchuk

A Financial Stress Index for Ukraine pp. 5-13: Lesia Tyshchenko and Attila Csajbok
Predicting the Utilization Rate and Risk Measures of Committed Credit Facilities pp. 14-21: Ihor Voloshyn
Fiscal Policy Reaction Function and Sustainability of Fiscal Policy in Ukraine pp. 22-35: Artem Vdovychenko

Central Bank Independence and Financial Stability: Orthodox and Heterodox Approaches pp. 6-27: Viktor Koziuk
Behavioral Finance: History and Foundations pp. 28-54: Pavlo Illiashenko
Stock-Flow Consistent Modeling of Default Events Sequence in a Closed Economy pp. 55-65: Ihor Voloshyn

Cashless Society and De-dollarization in Ukraine. What is Missing from Present Discussions? pp. 6-12: Marko Skreb and Kostiantyn Khvedchuk
Ukrainian Banks' Business Models Clustering: Application of Kohonen Neural Networks pp. 13-38: Vladyslav Rashkovan and Dmytro Pokidin
Applying Foreign Exchange Interventions as an Additional Instrument Under Inflation Targeting: The Case of Ukraine pp. 39-56: Anton Grui and Volodymyr Lepushynskyi

The NBU's Balance Sheet: Before, During, and After the Crisis pp. 6-19: Iryna Kachur, Volodymyr Lepushynskyi and Robert Zammit
Economic Impact of the Recent Decrease in Social Security Contributions in Ukraine pp. 20-26: Philipp Engler, Simon Voigts, Robert Kirchner and Oleksandra Betliy
Quasi-Competitiveness of the Audit Services Market in Ukraine: The Aspect of European Integration pp. 27-41: Inna Makarenko and Alex Plastun

Transformation of Central Banking. Annual Research Conference of the NBU. Key Issues pp. 6-18: Sergiy Nikolaychuk and Roman Pidvysotskyy
Institutional Set-Up and Mandates of Macroprudential Authorities: International Experience and Benchmarks for Ukraine pp. 19-29: Andriy Danylenko and Viktoriia Sanzharovska
Nonlinear Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Domestic Prices in Ukraine pp. 30-42: Oleksandr Faryna

Independence of Central Banks in Commodity Economies pp. 6-25: Viktor Koziuk
International Experience of Capital Flows Liberalization pp. 26-42: Maria Repko, Oleksandr Kashko and Irina Piontkivska
Nowcasting of Economic Development Indicators Using the NBU’s Business Survey Results pp. 43-56: Roman Lysenko and Nataliia Kolesnichenko