Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine

2015 - 2025

From National Bank of Ukraine
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2025, issue 09

From Seizure to Spreads. How News About russian Assets Moves European Sovereign Yields pp. 1-28

Iana Okhrimenko

2025, issue 06

Anchoring Firms' Inflation Expectations in Ukraine: Assessing Shock and Level Anchoring with a VAR Approach pp. 1-18

Vitalii Kramar and Bohdan Chepyha

2025, issue 05

Inflation and Attention Thresholds in Ukraine pp. 1-22

Maksym Homeniuk

2025, issue 04

The Impact of REER Volatility on Economic Activity in Ukraine pp. 1-21

Bohdan Chepyha

2025, issue 03

Applying Very High Resolution Satellite Imagery in Nowcasting pp. 1-25

Jan Beering

2025, issue 02

Roads Not Taken: A Brief on Central Bank Research and Management during an Invasion pp. 1-15

Mihnea Constantinescu

2025, issue 01

Key Takeaways from the 9th Annual Research Conference of the NBU and NBP: Economic and Financial Integration in a Stormy and Fragmenting World pp. 1-9

Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Sergiy Nikolaychuk and Oleksandr Faryna

2023, issue 255

Impact of the Central Bank's Communication on FX Market Dynamics pp. 4-21

Tetiana Yukhymenko and Oleh Sorochan

Interest Rate Pass-Through in Ukraine: Estimates and Determinants pp. 22-70

Nadiia Shapovalenko and Artem Vdovychenko

2022, issue 254

Determinants of Corporate Credit Growth in Ukraine: The Application of Bank Lending Survey Data pp. 4-14

Anatolii Hlazunov

Short-Term Forecasting of Global Energy and Metal Prices: VAR and VECM Approaches pp. 15-28

Diana Balioz

Crypto Currency Price Forecast: Neural Network Perspectives pp. 29-42

Yuriy Kleban and Tetiana Stasiuk

2022, issue 253

The Role of the Media in the Inflation Expectation Formation Process pp. 4-26

Tetiana Yukhymenko

A Heatmap for Monitoring Systemic Financial Stability Risks in Ukraine pp. 27-46

Adam Gersl, Pervin Dadashova, Yuliya Bazhenova, Vladyslav Filatov, Anatolii Hlazunov and Roman Soltysiak

2021, issue 252

A Suite of Models for CPI Forecasting pp. 4-36

Nadiia Shapovalenko

Identifying Insurance Companies' Business Models in Ukraine: Cluster Analysis and Machine Learning pp. 37-55

Oleksandr Tarnavskyi and Viktor Kolomiiets

2021, issue 251

Determinants of Corporate Loan Interest Rate: Case of Ukraine pp. 4-13

Solomiya Shpak

A BVAR Model for Forecasting Ukrainian Inflation and GDP pp. 14-36

Nadiia Shapovalenko

A New Financial Stress Index for Ukraine pp. 37-54

Vladyslav Filatov

2020, issue 250

How Does the Interest Rate Influence the Exchange Rate? pp. 4-14

Adam Hashchyshyn, Kateryna Marushchak, Oleksandr Sukhomlyn and Andrii Tarasenko

The Missing Cycle Part and Other Thoughts on the Global Financial Cycle pp. 15-32

Olga Bondarenko

Predicting Bank Defaults in Ukraine: A Macro-Micro Perspective pp. 33-44

Anatolii Hlazunov and Olesia Verchenko

2020, issue 249

Consumer Lending in Ukraine: Estimation of the Equilibrium Level pp. 4-12

Attila Csajbok, Pervin Dadashova, Pavlo Shykin and Balázs Vonnák

Data Science Opportunities at Central Banks: Overview pp. 13-24

Dmytro Krukovets

The Impact of Weather Conditions on Economic Activity in Ukraine pp. 25-49

Hanna Yatsenko

Foreign Assistance and Consumption Inequality: Does the Structure of Aid Matter? pp. 50-70

Nestor Cheryba

2019, issue 248

Price-Setting in Ukraine: Evidence from Online Prices pp. 4-10

Anastasiia Antonova

Short-Run Forecasting of Core Inflation in Ukraine: a Combined ARMA Approach pp. 11-20

Dmytro Krukovets and Olesia Verchenko

2019, issue 247

How Trade Composition Affects Sensitivity to Foreign Shocks: Applying a Global VAR Model to Ukraine pp. 4-18

Oleksandr Faryna and Heli Simola

The Effectiveness of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Ukraine since the Transition to Inflation Targeting pp. 19-37

Oleksandr Zholud, Volodymyr Lepushynskyi and Sergiy Nikolaychuk

Estimating a Natural Level of Financial Dollarization in Ukraine pp. 38-44

Kostiantyn Khvedchuk, Valentyna Sinichenko and Barry Topf

2018, issue 246

Applications for DSGE Models in Central Banking: Key Issues Explored During Research Workshop of the National Bank of Ukraine pp. 4-9

Sergii Kiiashko

Macroeconomic Effects of Minimum Wage Increases in an Economy with Wage Underreporting pp. 10-33

Anastasiia Antonova

Efficiency in the Market for Financial Advisory Services to Businesses pp. 34-49

Shaun Hargreaves-Heap and Oleksandr Talavera

2018, issue 245

Land Reform in the Credit Cycle Framework: The Case of Ukraine pp. 4-29

Mykhailo Matvieiev

Communicative Efficiency in Ukraine's Banking System: Evidence from Independent Auditor Reports pp. 30-44

Oleksandr Sukhomlyn

Estimating the Fiscal Impulse in Ukraine pp. 45-63

Artem Vdovychenko

2018, issue 244

Price Stability and Inflation Targeting in Commodity Economies: Macroeconomics versus a Political Economy? pp. 4-24

Viktor Koziuk

How Does Fiscal Policy Affect GDP and Inflation in Ukraine? pp. 25-43

Artem Vdovychenko

The Redistributive Effects of Monetary Policy Across Generations pp. 44-60

Olga Bondarenko

2018, issue 243

A Neutral Real Interest Rate in the Case of a Small Open Economy: Application to Ukraine pp. 4-20

Anton Grui, Volodymyr Lepushynskyi and Sergiy Nikolaychuk

What Drives the Difference between Online and Official Price Indexes? pp. 21-32

Oleksandr Faryna, Oleksandr Talavera and Tetiana Yukhymenko

Macroeconomic Effects of Introducing a Capital Conservation Buffer in the Ukrainian Banking Sector pp. 33-42

Pervin Dadashova, Magnus Jonsson and Hanna Onyshchenko

2017, issue 242

Nowcasting Ukraine's GDP Using a Factor-Augmented VAR (FAVAR) Model pp. 5-13

Anton Grui and Roman Lysenko

Evolving Ukraine's Deposit Guarantee System Towards Global Standards: A Macroprudential Perspective pp. 14-27

Andriy Danylenko

Behavioral Finance: Household Investment and Borrowing Decisions pp. 28-48

Pavlo Illiashenko

2017, issue 241

Do Firm-Bank Relationships Affect Corporate Cash Holdings? pp. 5-20

Andriy Tsapin

How Does Credit Risk Influence Liquidity Risk? Evidence from Ukrainian Banks pp. 21-33

Ruoyu Cai and Mao Zhang

The Impact of Anticipated and Unanticipated Exchange Rate Variability in Ukraine pp. 34-47

Viktor Shevchuk

2017, issue 240

A Financial Stress Index for Ukraine pp. 5-13

Lesia Tyshchenko and Attila Csajbok

Predicting the Utilization Rate and Risk Measures of Committed Credit Facilities pp. 14-21

Ihor Voloshyn

Fiscal Policy Reaction Function and Sustainability of Fiscal Policy in Ukraine pp. 22-35

Artem Vdovychenko

2017, issue 239

Central Bank Independence and Financial Stability: Orthodox and Heterodox Approaches pp. 6-27

Viktor Koziuk

Behavioral Finance: History and Foundations pp. 28-54

Pavlo Illiashenko

Stock-Flow Consistent Modeling of Default Events Sequence in a Closed Economy pp. 55-65

Ihor Voloshyn