Cosmic cycles in global, national, and regional economics

Vladimir Belkin ()
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Vladimir Belkin: Chelyabinsk branch of the Institute of Economics of UB RAS

Economy of region, 2014, vol. 1, issue 1, 210 - 220

Abstract: Subject matter of the research is the economic cycles of the world, national, and regional economies. Purpose of the work is to show their close relationship with the cycles of solar activity. The author used the methods of correlation and graphical analysis. It relies on the objectivity of the methodology of industrial relations, namely, their dependence on the parameters of the magnetic field of the Earth. As a result, the article identified the following close relationship: 1. cycles of unemployment in the states of New York, Texas and California with the maxima and minima of solar activity; 2. changing the polarity of the magnetic fields of the sun and economic crises in the U.S.; 4. extrema of monthly Wolf numbers and cycles of world output; 5. long waves of the global product and solar activity. On this basis, the author made a forecast deterioration in the global conjuncture in 2014–2015 years. The results can be used in the predicting the dynamics of the world, national and regional economies.

Keywords: world product cycles; regional economy; the cyclical development of the economy; regional economic cycles; cycles of regional unemployment; unemployment cycles; solar activity cycles; long waves of the world market fluctuations; cycles of deflation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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