Strategic Planning of Energy-Efficient Development of a Region of the Russian Federation

Vladimir Zybatov ()
Additional contact information
Vladimir Zybatov: Samara state economic University

Economy of region, 2018, vol. 1, issue 3, 941 - 954

Abstract: When developing regional strategies, the effectiveness of energy solutions must be linked to the overall economic efficiency of regional development, since the targets for energy-efficient development may conflict with the objectives of the regional economy as a whole. In the article, the task of energy-efficient development of a region of the Russian Federation is reduced to the search for the agreed scenarios of the development of fuel and energy complex (FEC) and the regional economy. These scenarios allow achieving a maximum approximation to the stated goals for the set of energy and economic indicators. I have developed a model of the FEC of a region as a dynamic CGE-model. It is developed as a part of the general model of the socio-economic activity of a region. This model represents the interrelated processes of production, processing, transportation and the use of all types of fuel and energy resources in a region. I propose the forecasting methodology of balanced development of the economy and fuel and energy complex. This methodology provides iterative harmonization of forecasts for consumption and production of energy based on regional fuel and energy balance (FEB). At the same time, the FEB developed within the framework of the FEC model is a part of the overall product-sector balance of the economy, which plays the role of the “balance of balances†. It allows to simulate the interaction of FEC and the rest of the economy through inter-balance relations. Based on the developed methods and models, I have implemented the information technology of situation forecasting and strategic planning in the form of forecasting and analytical tool. This tool simulates the scenarios of energy-efficient development of the economy of the Samara region. As an example, the article presents the assessment of energy efficiency for an option of Samara region development according to the target scenario of Russia’s Energy Strategy for the period up to 2035.

Keywords: economy; energy; energy-efficient development; fuel and energy complex; fuel-energy balance; energy indicators; modelling; forecasting; strategic planning; scenario of development (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://economyofregion.ru/Data/Issues/ER2018/Septe ... mber2018_941_954.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ura:ecregj:v:1:y:2018:i:3:p:941-954

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Economy of region from Centre for Economic Security, Institute of Economics of Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Alexey Naydenov ().