Estimating the Effect of Job-Training Programs, Using Longitudinal Data: Ashenfelter's Findings Reconsidered

Howard S. Bloom

Journal of Human Resources, 1984, vol. 19, issue 4, 544-556

Abstract: This paper is an examination of how autoregressive earnings models commonly used to evaluate job-training programs can produce badly biased estimates of both the magnitude and the temporal pattern of program impacts. Ashenfelter's results are used to illustrate this point, and a new, more appropriate model is used to reanalyze his data. Of particular importance is the finding that the decay in Ashenfelter's estimated training effect for men was produced by a time-varying bias in his model.

Date: 1984
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:uwp:jhriss:v:19:y:1984:i:4:p:544-556

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