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Demographic and Time Patterns in Layoffs and Quits

James W. Moser

Journal of Human Resources, 1986, vol. 21, issue 2, 178-199

Abstract: This article decomposes the monthly transition from employment to unemployment as measured by gross flow data into layoffs and quits for ten age-sex groups. It examines three patterns for each subflow over the 1967-83 periods and compares age and sex groups. It finds that layoffs are more cyclically sensitive than quits into unemployment and that trend is a more influential determinant of layoffs than business cycle factors for most males whereas the opposite is true for most females. Other researchers have not found such robust cyclical results, probably because they have not distinguished between layoffs and quits in the employment-to-unemployment transition. Policy implications are briefly discussed.

Date: 1986
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