The Dynamics of Criminal Behavior: Evidence from Weather Shocks
Lars Lefgren () and
Journal of Human Resources, 2007, vol. 42, issue 3
While the persistence of criminal activity is well documented, this may be due to persistence in the unobserved determinants of crime. There are good reasons to believe, however, that there may actually be a negative relationship between crime rates in a particular area due to temporal displacement. We exploit the correlation between weather and crime to examine the short-run dynamics of crime. Using variation in lagged crime rates due to weather shocks, we find that the positive serial correlation is reversed. These findings suggest that the long-run impact of temporary crime-prevention efforts may be smaller than the short-run effects.
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (81) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
A subscripton is required to access pdf files. Pay per article is available.
Working Paper: The Dynamics of Criminal Behavior: Evidence from Weather Shocks (2005)
Working Paper: The Dynamics of Criminal Behavior: Evidence from Weather Shocks (2004)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:uwp:jhriss:v:42:y:2007:i3:p489-527
Access Statistics for this article
More articles in Journal of Human Resources from University of Wisconsin Press
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ().