Does Enrollment Lead to Completion? Measuring Adjustments in Education to Local Labor Market Shocks

Ramiro Burga and Sarah Turner

Journal of Human Resources, 2023, vol. 58, issue 3, 755-782

Abstract: Adverse local labor market shocks such as those generated by exposure of local industries to international trade have impacts on high school enrollment and completion that are theoretically ambiguous. Incentives to stay in school increase when employment prospects are weak, yet public resources for local schools may also shrink. This work demonstrates that, while high school enrollment rates increase significantly, high school degree attainment does not show commensurate growth. “Outmigration” of young adults and changes in the timing of degree receipt reconcile these measures. In addition, high school attainment effects are likely attenuated by declines in local resources per student.

JEL-codes: F16 I20 I22 J24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
Note: DOI: https://doi.org/10.3368/jhr.59.1.0121-11408
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:uwp:jhriss:v:58:y:2023:i:3:p:755-782

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