Fertility Policy Adjustments and Female Labor Supply: Estimation of Marginal Treatment Effect Using Chinese Census Data

Shenglong Liu, Tianyu Jin, Meng Li and Shaojie Zhou

Journal of Human Resources, 2024, vol. 59, issue 6, 1865-1892

Abstract: Using microdata from the sixth census, we estimate the marginal treatment effect of fertility on female labor supply in rural China based on the generalized Roy Model. We find that the decline in childbearing willingness magnifies negative impact of fertility on female labor supply, particularly for women with higher educational attainment. In the context of the universal two‐child policy, the policy‐relevant treatment effects show that weekly labor supply falls by 7.5–12.3 hours after having a second child. Our research implies that female labor supply should be taken into consideration when introducing certain fertility incentive policies.

JEL-codes: I28 J13 J22 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
Note: DOI: https://doi.org/10.3368/jhr.0620-10989R3
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://jhr.uwpress.org/cgi/reprint/59/6/1865
A subscription is required to access pdf files. Pay per article is available.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:uwp:jhriss:v:59:y:2024:i:6:p:1865-1892

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Journal of Human Resources from University of Wisconsin Press
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ().