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Negro Migration and Unemployment

David E. Kaun

Journal of Human Resources, 1970, vol. 5, issue 2, 191-207

Abstract: In this article an effort is made to show that while the pattern of Negro migration 1955-60 conforms to economic rationality based on income maximization, this pattern of migration is not responsive to reported unemployment rate differentials. A brief review of past migration is followed by a comparison of actual migration out of the South with a hypothetical distribution among states based on the goal of unemployment minimization. Multiple regression analyses are applied to 93 Standard Metropolitan Statistical Areas, utilizing measures of income, welfare payments, past employment growth, population size, and unemployment. All but the latter variable appear to have significant influence on migration patterns.

Date: 1970
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